English ⚽ Allsvenskan 🕒 31 Aug 2026
Our tip
Over 3.5 goals
Odds
2.27
LostResult
0-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
46%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
The odds make IK Sirius firm favourites at 1.71 (about 58% implied), with Malmo FF a distant second at 4.26 (roughly 23%).
02
The draw is priced at 4.05, implying around 25%, and shows a modest value edge of 3.01% against the market consensus.
03
Malmo FF carry the largest positive value edge in this market at 6.89%, with a fair probability estimated at 25% versus their 4.26 price.
04
The recommended Over 3.5 goals pick at 2.14 has around 44% implied confidence but a negative value edge of -5.88%, making it a lean rather than a value flag.
Team form
IS IK Sirius WWWLL
19 Sept 26 @ Örgryte IS 2-1
14 Sept 26 vs Degerfors IF 2-0
5 Sept 26 @ Västerås SK 1-0
31 Aug 26 vs Malmo FF 0-1
21 Aug 26 vs BK Hacken 0-3
MF Malmo FF LWDWW
19 Sept 26 @ Västerås SK 0-2
13 Sept 26 vs Örgryte IS 4-1
7 Sept 26 vs AIK 0-0
31 Aug 26 @ IK Sirius 1-0
16 Aug 26 @ GAIS 1-0
Head-to-head: IK Sirius v Malmo FF
L 31 Aug 26
IK Sirius 0-1 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
W/D/L shown from IK Sirius's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
IK Sirius vs Malmo FF: pre-match preview
This Allsvenskan meeting sees IK Sirius host Malmo FF, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Sirius are priced at 1.71 with 1xBet, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 58% to take all three points at home. Malmo FF, by contrast, are out at 4.26, implying around 23%, while the draw sits at 4.05, or about 25%. That is a clear gap in the market's eyes, positioning Sirius as solid favourites rather than the visitors from Malmo. Our model, however, looks past the match result and towards goals: the recommended angle is Over 3.5 goals at 2.14, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 44%. It is worth noting the value edge on that pick is negative at -5.88%, so it is a preference rather than a flagged bargain. The standout value signals sit elsewhere, on the away side and the draw.
Verdict: The model leans towards Over 3.5 goals at 2.14, but with roughly 44% implied confidence and a negative -5.88% edge, this is a higher-variance call rather than a value pick. Treat it as a preference and stake responsibly, as more than three goals is far from assured.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for IK Sirius vs Malmo FF?+
Our tip was Over 3.5 goals at odds of 2.27.
Who is the favourite for IK Sirius vs Malmo FF?+
IK Sirius are the market favourites at 1.71, which implies about a 58% chance. Malmo FF are the outsiders at 4.26, roughly 23% implied.
What is the draw priced at?+
The draw is available at 4.05 with 1xBet, implying around a 25% probability. It also shows a small value edge of 3.01% versus the market consensus.
Is there any value in this match?+
The data flags Malmo FF at 4.26 as the biggest value with a 6.89% edge, and the draw at 4.05 with a 3.01% edge. The recommended Over 3.5 goals pick actually carries a negative edge of -5.88%, so it is a model preference, not a value bet.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 0-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).