Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
KFUM are slight favourites at 2.5 (about 40% implied), narrowly ahead of IK Start at 2.65 (about 38%).
The small price gap between the two sides signals a closely matched contest with no dominant pick.
The draw at 3.54 implies roughly a 28% chance, typical for an evenly priced fixture.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.73 carries a negative value edge of -5.55%, so it is a model lean rather than a value bet.
Team form
Head-to-head: IK Start v KFUM
W/D/L shown from IK Start's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
IK Start vs KFUM: pre-match preview
This Eliteserien meeting between IK Start and KFUM is one of the tighter matchups on the board, with the odds pointing to a near coin-flip. KFUM are marginal favourites at 2.5, translating to roughly a 40% implied chance, while home side IK Start sit just behind at 2.65, or about 38%. The draw is priced at 3.54, implying close to 28%. Those numbers underline how evenly the market rates these two, with no strong lean either way. Our model instead looks past the match result and toward the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 1.73 (William Hill) with a market-implied confidence around 55%. It is worth noting the value edge on this pick is negative at roughly -5.55%, meaning the price offers no clear overlay against the market. Treat it as a modelled preference rather than a standout value spot in this fixture.
Verdict: The model prefers Over 2.5 goals at 1.73, with implied confidence near 55%. Honestly, the -5.55% value edge means there is no pricing advantage here, so this is a modelled preference rather than a value play. Moderate risk; stake responsibly and only if the goals angle appeals.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 4-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Eliteserien fixtures
All Eliteserien tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:16 | SK Brann v Bodø/Glimt | 2.18 | 2.88 | 7.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was KFUM to win at odds of 3.20.
KFUM are the marginal favourites at 2.5, implying about a 40% chance, just ahead of IK Start at 2.65 (around 38%). The difference is small, so the market sees this as close.
The draw is priced at 3.54 with Marathon Bet, which implies roughly a 28% probability. That is a fairly standard draw price for such an evenly matched fixture.
Based on the data, no. The recommended Over 2.5 goals pick at 1.73 shows a negative value edge of -5.55%, and no selections cleared the value threshold against the market.
The tip lost — final score 4-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).