English ⚽ Serie A 🕒 6 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.80
WonResult
1-1Final score
+0.80uProfit
57%Pre-match conf.
-0.55%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Juventus are the favourites at 2.36 (about 42% implied), ahead of AC Milan at 3.3 (about 30%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.54, roughly a 28% implied chance, keeping all three outcomes fairly close.
03
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.18 carries around 45% market-implied confidence.
04
That Over 2.5 selection shows a negative value edge of -1.41%, so it is not a clear-value spot.
Team form
JUV Juventus WLDWW
20 Sept 26 vs Atalanta 2-0
13 Sept 26 @ Sassuolo 2-3
6 Sept 26 vs Milan 1-1
29 Aug 26 vs Parma 2-0
23 Aug 26 @ Frosinone 1-0
AM AC Milan DDWWL
12 Sept 26 @ Lazio 2-2
6 Sept 26 @ Juventus 1-1
28 Aug 26 vs Venezia FC 2-0
23 Aug 26 @ Torino 2-1
24 May 26 vs Cagliari 1-2
Head-to-head: Juventus v AC Milan
Full H2H history → D 6 Sept 26
Juventus 1-1 MilanSerie A
D 26 Apr 26
Milan 0-0 JuventusSerie A
D 5 Oct 25
Juventus 0-0 MilanSerie A
W/D/L shown from Juventus's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Juventus vs AC Milan: pre-match preview
Juventus host AC Milan in Serie A, and the market leans towards the home side. Juventus are priced at 2.36 with 1xBet, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 42%. AC Milan are the outsiders at 3.3 with Codere, implying around 30%, while the draw sits at 3.54, or about 28%. That spread points to a contest the market sees as competitive rather than one-sided, with Juventus favoured but far from dominant. Our model's attention is on the goals market rather than the winner: Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.18 with 1xBet, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 45%. Notably, that pick shows a slightly negative value edge of -1.41%, meaning the price is broadly in line with, or marginally short of, fair value. For anyone weighing this Juventus versus AC Milan fixture, the numbers suggest a close match with a reasonable expectation of goals, but no standout edge on offer.
Verdict: The model points to Over 2.5 goals at 2.18, reflecting an expectation of an open game. With a market-implied confidence near 45% and a slightly negative value edge, this is a marginal call rather than a strong edge. Treat it as a modest position and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of +0.80 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Serie A fixtures
All Serie A tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:45 | AC Milan v Lecce | 1.26 | 6.60 | 16.00 |
| 10 Oct 13:00 | Genoa v Fiorentina | 3.25 | 3.48 | 2.45 |
| 10 Oct 16:00 | Inter Milan v Parma | 1.14 | 10.60 | 22.00 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Napoli v Frosinone | 1.49 | 4.94 | 7.50 |
| 11 Oct 10:30 | Como v AS Roma | 2.64 | 3.67 | 2.88 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lecce v Bologna | 4.21 | 3.50 | 2.08 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lazio v Monza | 1.77 | 3.81 | 5.40 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Sassuolo v AC Milan | 4.58 | 3.93 | 1.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Serie A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Milan | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Juventus vs AC Milan?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.80.
Who is the favourite for Juventus vs AC Milan?+
Juventus are the favourites at 2.36 with 1xBet, an implied probability of about 42%. AC Milan are the outsiders at 3.3, around 30%.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.54 with 1xBet, which implies roughly a 28% chance. That keeps the three outcomes relatively balanced.
Is there any value in this match?+
No pick cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.18 actually shows a slightly negative edge of -1.41%, so there is no strong value on offer.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 1-1 (+0.80u at flat stakes).