English ⚽ J1 League 🕒 6 Sept 2026
Our tip
Kawasaki Frontale to win
Odds
2.04
WonResult
3-1Final score
+1.04uProfit
51%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at LeoVegas (SE)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Kawasaki Frontale are priced at 2.04, implying roughly a 49 percent chance of victory according to the market, the strongest implied probability of the three outcomes.
02
The draw sits at 3.85, translating to an implied probability of about 26 percent, essentially level with Shimizu's implied chances.
03
Shimizu S Pulse at 4.12 carry an implied probability near 24-25 percent, yet the model's fair probability of 26 percent produces a 5.7 percent value edge, the largest edge among the three markets.
04
The recommended Kawasaki win bet at 2.04 shows a smaller but still positive edge of 3.95 percent against a modelled confidence of 51 percent, indicating a moderate rather than overwhelming statistical lean.
Team form
KF Kawasaki Frontale DWWLD
19 Sept 26 vs Kashima Antlers 3-3
12 Sept 26 @ Mito HollyHock 1-0
6 Sept 26 vs Shimizu S Pulse 3-1
2 Sept 26 @ FC Machida Zelvia 1-2
22 Aug 26 @ Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC 1-1
SSP Shimizu S Pulse WWLDL
19 Sept 26 vs JEF United Chiba 2-1
12 Sept 26 vs Avispa Fukuoka 1-0
6 Sept 26 @ Kawasaki Frontale 1-3
2 Sept 26 vs FC Tokyo 1-1
22 Aug 26 @ Cerezo Osaka 0-1
Head-to-head: Kawasaki Frontale v Shimizu S Pulse
W 6 Sept 26
Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 Shimizu S PulseJ1 League
W/D/L shown from Kawasaki Frontale's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S Pulse: pre-match preview
Kawasaki Frontale host Shimizu S Pulse in a J1 League fixture where the betting market clearly leans toward the home side. Best odds of 2.04 on Frontale imply a win probability of roughly 49 percent, making them the clear favourite over both the draw, priced at 3.85 (about 26 percent), and an away win for Shimizu at 4.12, which implies just under 25 percent. Our model's recommended bet aligns with the market's lean, backing Kawasaki Frontale to win at 2.04 with a modelled confidence of 51 percent and a value edge of 3.95 percent, suggesting the price offers slightly more than the model's fair assessment of the outcome. At the same time, a separate value angle appears on the Shimizu side, where the model's fair probability of 26 percent against the 4.12 price produces an even larger edge of 5.7 percent, worth noting for bettors who like contrarian value plays.
Verdict: The data supports Kawasaki Frontale as a reasonably backed favourite, with the recommended win bet at 2.04 offering modest value based on the model's 51 percent confidence and 3.95 percent edge. It is not an overwhelming edge, so this remains a moderate-risk selection; the Shimizu value angle is higher-edge but lower-probability, so bankroll discipline is advised either way.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 3-1, for a flat-stake return of +1.04 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S Pulse?+
Our tip was Kawasaki Frontale to win at odds of 2.04.
Who is favourite in the Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S Pulse match?+
Kawasaki Frontale are the market favourites, priced at 2.04 for the win, which implies close to a 49 percent chance of victory according to the odds given.
What are the odds on the draw for this J1 League fixture?+
The draw is priced at 3.85 with Coolbet, implying an approximate 26 percent probability, similar to Shimizu's implied win chance.
Is there value in betting on Shimizu S Pulse to win?+
According to the model, Shimizu's best price of 4.12 against a fair probability of 26 percent produces a 5.7 percent value edge, the largest edge identified in this match, though their overall win probability remains lower than Kawasaki's.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 3-1 (+1.04u at flat stakes).