Champions League · Wed · 16:45 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Sep 20, 2026 · how we work
Liverpool's 1.27 best price implies a win probability of about 79 percent, marking them as strong favourites over LASK.
LASK's 12.5 odds imply only around an 8 percent chance of victory according to the market.
The draw at 7.01 implies roughly a 14 percent probability, keeping it a distant secondary outcome.
The recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 2.03 has a 48 percent modelled confidence but a negative value edge of -1.59 percent, meaning it is not flagged as a clear market inefficiency.
| Bookmaker | 1 · LAS | X | 2 · LIV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 11.20 | 7.03 | 1.27 |
| Betfair | 12.00 | 7.00 | 1.25 |
| Coolbet | 12.00 | 6.75 | 1.25 |
| Nordic Bet | 13.00 | 6.00 | 1.26 |
| Marathon Bet | 10.75 | 6.70 | 1.25 |
| GTbets | 10.65 | 6.26 | 1.26 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Liverpool travel to face LASK in a Champions League fixture where the betting market leaves little doubt about the expected outcome. Best available odds of 1.27 on Liverpool imply a win probability of roughly 79 percent, a heavy favourite price for a road side in continental competition. LASK, by contrast, are priced at 12.5, translating to an implied chance of around 8 percent, while the draw sits at 7.01, implying about 14 percent. Together those numbers point to a match the market expects Liverpool to dominate and likely win comfortably. Away from the result market, our model highlights Over 3.5 goals at 2.03 as its recommended angle, reflecting a view that this fixture could produce a high-scoring affair given the gap in class implied by the odds. That price carries a modelled confidence of 48 percent, though it currently shows a slight negative value edge against the market, so it should be treated as a considered option rather than a standout value bet.
Verdict: The market strongly favours Liverpool, leaving LASK and the draw as long-shot options. The model's Over 3.5 goals suggestion at 2.03 reflects a reasonable goals-based angle given the favourite's strength, but with a slight negative value edge and only 48 percent confidence, it carries real risk and should be sized cautiously.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 16:45 | RC Lens v Sporting Lisbon | 2.47 | 3.95 | 2.86 |
| 13 Oct 16:45 | Sabah FK v Slavia Praha | 3.72 | 4.00 | 2.06 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Arsenal v Lille | 1.33 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Inter Milan v Club Brugge | 1.32 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Villarreal v Napoli | 2.42 | 3.75 | 3.12 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | RB Leipzig v PSV Eindhoven | 2.08 | 4.30 | 3.40 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Viking FK v Bayern Munich | 26.00 | 14.70 | 1.12 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Atlético Madrid v Manchester United | 2.35 | 4.00 | 2.97 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 | Barça | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 | Man United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | RC Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 | PAE AEK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 | Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Shaktar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Club Brugge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Slavia Praha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Atleti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | LASK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 | Sabah FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Sl. Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodø/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.96, with a 51% confidence rating.
Liverpool are strongly favoured, with best odds of 1.27 implying roughly a 79 percent chance of victory according to the market.
The best available draw price is 7.01, which implies an approximate 14 percent probability for that outcome.
The model's recommended pick is Over 3.5 goals at 2.03 with 48 percent confidence, but it currently shows a slight negative value edge of -1.59 percent, so no clear value pick has emerged from the listed markets.
LASK vs Liverpool takes place Wed · 16:45 in the Champions League.
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