English ⚽ Ligue 1 🕒 5 Sept 2026
Our tip
Le Havre to win
Odds
2.78
LostResult
1-2Final score
-1.00uProfit
38%Pre-match conf.
-0.71%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Betfair
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Odds are closely bunched: Le Havre 2.78, Brest 2.89, Draw 3.4, pointing to a genuinely open contest.
02
Implied probabilities sit near 36 percent (Le Havre), 34.6 percent (Brest) and 29.4 percent (Draw), leaving only a small gap between favourite and second favourite.
03
The model's edge of 6.13 percent on Le Havre is the only value signal generated for this match; no other selections met the value threshold.
04
Model confidence of 38 percent on the recommended bet reflects a modest lean rather than a strong conviction pick.
Team form
LH Le Havre LDLDL
19 Sept 26 @ Toulouse 2-3
12 Sept 26 vs Angers SCO 0-0
5 Sept 26 vs Brest 1-2
29 Aug 26 @ Olympique Lyon 1-1
23 Aug 26 vs Monaco 0-1
BRE Brest LLWDD
20 Sept 26 @ Auxerre 1-2
13 Sept 26 vs PSG 0-1
5 Sept 26 @ Le Havre 2-1
29 Aug 26 vs Toulouse 2-2
22 Aug 26 @ Le Mans 2-2
Head-to-head: Le Havre v Brest
Full H2H history → L 5 Sept 26
Le Havre 1-2 BrestLigue 1
L 8 Mar 26
Brest 2-0 Le HavreLigue 1
W 29 Oct 25
Le Havre 1-0 BrestLigue 1
W/D/L shown from Le Havre's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Le Havre vs Brest: pre-match preview
Le Havre host Brest in a Ligue 1 fixture where the betting market sees very little separating the two sides. Le Havre are the narrow favourites on price at 2.78 with Betfair, which implies a win probability of roughly 36 percent, just ahead of Brest at 2.89 (about 34.6 percent implied) and the draw at 3.4 (around 29.4 percent implied) with Coolbet. Those numbers show a three-way market with no dominant side, typical of a competitive top-flight matchup. Our model flags Le Havre to win at 2.78 as its recommended play, citing a market-implied confidence of 38 percent and a value edge of 6.13 percent versus the raw odds, suggesting the price may undervalue the hosts slightly. No other selections in this market cleared our value threshold, underlining how tightly this one is priced across all three outcomes.
Verdict: Le Havre to win at 2.78 is the market's marginal favourite and the only selection our model rates as value, with a 6.13 percent edge and 38 percent implied confidence. It is a reasonable, data-backed lean rather than a high-conviction call, so staking should stay measured given the tight three-way pricing.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Ligue 1 fixtures
All Ligue 1 tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:45 | Marseille v Paris Saint Germain | 7.40 | 5.50 | 1.46 |
| 9 Oct 18:45 | RC Lens v Lyon | 2.26 | 3.85 | 3.25 |
| 10 Oct 15:15 | Lille v Le Havre | 1.48 | 4.88 | 7.80 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | AS Monaco v Toulouse | 1.82 | 4.11 | 4.70 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Brest v Angers | 2.00 | 3.85 | 3.95 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Lorient v Paris FC | 3.04 | 3.60 | 2.48 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Paris Saint Germain v Le Mans FC | 1.12 | 13.40 | 24.00 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Nice v Strasbourg | 2.29 | 3.72 | 3.23 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Ligue 1 standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Angers SCO | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | PSG | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Brest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | RC Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Le Havre vs Brest?+
Our tip was Le Havre to win at odds of 2.78.
Who is favourite in the Le Havre vs Brest match?+
Based on the best available odds, Le Havre are the slight favourites at 2.78, just ahead of Brest at 2.89, though the gap is small enough that the market views this as a close contest.
What are the odds on the draw for Le Havre vs Brest?+
The best draw price listed is 3.4 with Coolbet, which implies a probability of roughly 29.4 percent.
Is there value in betting on this Ligue 1 fixture?+
Our model identifies value on Le Havre to win at 2.78, showing a 6.13 percent edge and 38 percent implied confidence; no other match-result selections met the value threshold.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 1-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).