English ⚽ Ekstraklasa 🕒 9 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 3.0 goals
Odds
1.81
VoidResult
3-0Final score
0.00uProfit
48%Pre-match conf.
-0.55%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Pinnacle
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Lech Poznań are the clear favourites at 1.62, an implied probability of about 62%, versus Piast Gliwice at 5.25, around 19%.
02
The draw is priced at 4.2, implying roughly a 24% chance of the points being shared.
03
The recommended Over 2.75 goals pick at 1.89 sits close to a coin-flip, with market-implied confidence of about 51%.
04
The value edge on the goals bet is negative at -4.51%, indicating the price offers no clear advantage over the market.
Team form
LP Lech Poznań LWWWW
12 Sept 26 @ Górnik Zabrze 1-2
6 Sept 26 vs Raków Częstochowa 1-0
3 Sept 26 vs Jagiellonia Białystok 2-1
30 Aug 26 @ Widzew Łódź 3-2
9 Aug 26 vs Piast Gliwice 3-0
PG Piast Gliwice LWWDL
20 Sept 26 vs Pogoń Szczecin 1-2
14 Sept 26 @ Radomiak Radom 2-0
4 Sept 26 vs GKS Katowice 3-0
22 Aug 26 vs Legia Warszawa 1-1
15 Aug 26 vs Wieczysta Kraków 3-4
Head-to-head: Lech Poznań v Piast Gliwice
W 9 Aug 26
Lech Poznań 3-0 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
W/D/L shown from Lech Poznań's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Lech Poznań vs Piast Gliwice: pre-match preview
Lech Poznań welcome Piast Gliwice in this Ekstraklasa clash, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Lech are priced at 1.62 with Nordic Bet, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 62% before margin. Piast, meanwhile, drift out to 5.25 at Coolbet, implying only about a 19% chance of an away win, while the draw sits at 4.2, worth around 24% in probability terms. Those numbers frame the hosts as clear favourites without pushing into short-odds territory. Rather than backing the match result, our model looks to the goals market: Over 2.75 goals at 1.89 with Pinnacle, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 51%. It is worth noting the value edge on that pick is negative at -4.51%, so it reads more as a lean than a strong edge over the market on Lech Poznań versus Piast Gliwice.
Verdict: The suggested play is Over 2.75 goals at 1.89, a near even-money lean rather than a standout edge. With a negative value figure of -4.51%, treat it as a modest position at best. Stake responsibly and only within a comfortable bankroll.
How it settled: the tip was voided — the match finished 3-0, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
W 9 Aug 26
Over 1.75 goalsfinal score 3-0
1.85 +0.85u Upcoming Ekstraklasa fixtures
All Ekstraklasa tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:15 | Lech Poznań v Radomiak Radom | 1.14 | 10.00 | 28.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Lech Poznań vs Piast Gliwice?+
Our tip was Under 3.0 goals at odds of 1.81.
Who is the favourite for Lech Poznań vs Piast Gliwice?+
Lech Poznań are favourites at 1.62, an implied probability of about 62%. Piast Gliwice are the outsiders at 5.25, roughly 19%.
What are the draw odds for this Ekstraklasa match?+
The draw is priced at 4.2 with Coolbet, which implies around a 24% chance of the match ending level before bookmaker margin.
Is there value in this fixture?+
No value pick cleared our threshold here. The recommended Over 2.75 goals bet at 1.89 actually shows a negative edge of -4.51%, so it is a lean rather than a genuine value spot.
Did the tip win?+
The tip was voided — final score 3-0 (0.00u at flat stakes).