English ⚽ Premier League 🕒 30 Aug 2026
Our tip
Leeds United to win
Odds
2.84
LostResult
1-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
39%Pre-match conf.
+6.77%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
The odds are tight: Brentford at 2.64 (about 38% implied) are only marginally ahead of Leeds United at 2.84 (about 35%), a small price gap.
02
The model recommends Leeds United to win at 2.84, citing a value edge of 9.76% and a fair probability of 37% against the market.
03
The draw at 3.79 implies roughly 26%, but the model assigns it a 30% fair probability and the largest edge of the three at 14.05%.
04
With no side priced as a heavy favourite, the market frames this as one of the more evenly matched fixtures on the card.
Team form
LU Leeds United DWDDW
20 Sept 26 vs Crystal Palace 0-0
14 Sept 26 vs Newcastle 4-1
5 Sept 26 @ Brighton Hove 1-1
30 Aug 26 vs Brentford 1-1
22 Aug 26 @ Nottingham 1-0
BRE Brentford WDDDW
18 Sept 26 vs Chelsea 3-0
12 Sept 26 @ Bournemouth 2-2
5 Sept 26 vs Sunderland 1-1
30 Aug 26 @ Leeds United 1-1
22 Aug 26 vs Tottenham 3-0
Head-to-head: Leeds United v Brentford
Full H2H history → D 30 Aug 26
Leeds United 1-1 BrentfordPremier League
D 21 Mar 26
Leeds United 0-0 BrentfordPremier League
D 14 Dec 25
Brentford 1-1 Leeds UnitedPremier League
W/D/L shown from Leeds United's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Leeds United vs Brentford: pre-match preview
Leeds United host Brentford in the Premier League with a market that sees this one as genuinely close to a coin flip. Brentford are the narrow favourites at a best price of 2.64, which implies roughly a 38% chance, while Leeds United sit just behind at 2.84, translating to about 35% in the market's eyes. The draw is priced at 3.79, or around 26% implied. Those tight numbers point to a fixture without a clear standout. Our model, however, leans towards the hosts: it rates Leeds United to win at 2.84 as the recommended play, flagging a market-implied confidence of 39% and a value edge of 9.76%. In other words, the model believes the price on Leeds is a touch generous relative to the odds on offer. It is a value-driven angle rather than a call on any team being dominant.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Leeds United to win at 2.84, supported by a value edge close to 10%. This is a moderate-risk pick in a tightly priced match where any of the three outcomes is plausible. The draw also shows value on the model's numbers. Stake responsibly and treat these as calculated angles, not certainties.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
W 30 Aug 26
Under 2.5 goalsfinal score 1-1
2.25 +1.25u Upcoming Premier League fixtures
All Premier League tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 11:30 | Arsenal v Leeds United | 1.36 | 5.50 | 10.50 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Chelsea v Bournemouth | 1.88 | 4.30 | 4.11 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Sunderland v Brighton and Hove Albion | 2.93 | 3.70 | 2.59 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Ipswich Town v Fulham | 2.79 | 3.70 | 2.63 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Aston Villa v Brentford | 2.76 | 3.65 | 2.74 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur | 1.75 | 4.40 | 4.82 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Hull City v Everton | 3.85 | 3.54 | 2.14 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest | 2.76 | 3.47 | 2.80 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Premier League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton Hove | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds United | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Man United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry City | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Leeds United vs Brentford?+
Our tip was Leeds United to win at odds of 2.84.
Who is the favourite for Leeds United vs Brentford?+
Brentford are the slight favourites at a best price of 2.64, implying about a 38% chance. Leeds United are close behind at 2.84, around 35% implied, so the market sees a near-even contest.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.79 with 1xBet, which implies roughly a 26% chance. Our model actually rates the draw's fair probability higher at 30%, giving it the largest value edge of 14.05%.
Is there value backing Leeds United?+
Our model thinks so, recommending Leeds United to win at 2.84 with a value edge of 9.76% and a fair probability of 37%. Value indicates a favourable price, not a guaranteed result, so manage your stakes carefully.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 1-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).