English ⚽ Premier League 🕒 20 Sept 2026
Our tip
Leeds United to win
Odds
2.27
LostResult
0-0Final score
-1.00uProfit
49%Pre-match conf.
+5.58%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Leeds United carry the shortest price at 2.27, making them the market's clear favourite over Crystal Palace at 3.38 and the draw at 3.6.
02
The 2.27 price on Leeds implies a probability of roughly 44 percent, noticeably higher than Crystal Palace's implied 30 percent.
03
The model's fair probability for Leeds sits at 46 percent, slightly above the market-implied figure, producing a value edge of about 3.5 percent on the standalone value pick.
04
The recommended bet carries a stated market-implied confidence of 49 percent with a 10.25 percent edge, the largest gap identified among the listed options.
Team form
LU Leeds United DWDDW
20 Sept 26 vs Crystal Palace 0-0
14 Sept 26 vs Newcastle 4-1
5 Sept 26 @ Brighton Hove 1-1
30 Aug 26 vs Brentford 1-1
22 Aug 26 @ Nottingham 1-0
CP Crystal Palace DLWLL
20 Sept 26 @ Leeds United 0-0
12 Sept 26 vs Ipswich Town 2-3
5 Sept 26 @ Fulham 3-2
28 Aug 26 vs Man City 1-4
22 Aug 26 @ Everton 0-2
Head-to-head: Leeds United v Crystal Palace
Full H2H history → D 20 Sept 26
Leeds United 0-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
D 15 Mar 26
Crystal Palace 0-0 Leeds UnitedPremier League
W 20 Dec 25
Leeds United 4-1 Crystal PalacePremier League
W/D/L shown from Leeds United's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Leeds United vs Crystal Palace: pre-match preview
Leeds United host Crystal Palace in a Premier League fixture where the betting market leans clearly toward the home side. Best prices have Leeds at 2.27, Crystal Palace out at 3.38, and the draw at 3.6, which puts the implied probability of a Leeds win at roughly 44 percent, ahead of Crystal Palace's implied share around 30 percent and the draw close to 28 percent. That gap between the top two prices is where the recommended selection comes in: Leeds United to win at 2.27, which the model rates at a 49 percent implied confidence with a value edge of just over 10 percent versus the raw market price. It is not an overwhelming favourite situation, more a modest tilt in Leeds' favour, so this preview treats the numbers as a guide to relative likelihood rather than a certainty.
Verdict: Leeds United at 2.27 is the standout pick from the data, backed by a value edge above 10 percent and the shortest price in the market. Still, with implied confidence under 50 percent, this remains a moderate-risk single-result bet rather than anything close to a sure outcome.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-0, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Premier League fixtures
All Premier League tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 11:30 | Arsenal v Leeds United | 1.36 | 5.50 | 10.50 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Chelsea v Bournemouth | 1.88 | 4.30 | 4.11 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Sunderland v Brighton and Hove Albion | 2.93 | 3.70 | 2.59 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Ipswich Town v Fulham | 2.79 | 3.70 | 2.63 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Aston Villa v Brentford | 2.76 | 3.65 | 2.74 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur | 1.75 | 4.40 | 4.82 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Hull City v Everton | 3.85 | 3.54 | 2.14 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest | 2.76 | 3.47 | 2.80 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Premier League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton Hove | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds United | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Man United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry City | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Leeds United vs Crystal Palace?+
Our tip was Leeds United to win at odds of 2.27.
Who are the favourites in the Leeds United vs Crystal Palace match?+
Leeds United are priced as favourites at 2.27, compared with 3.38 for Crystal Palace and 3.6 for the draw, making Leeds the shortest-odds selection.
What is the draw priced at for this fixture?+
The best available draw price listed is 3.6, which implies a probability of roughly 28 percent.
Is there value in backing Leeds United against Crystal Palace?+
According to the data, yes, the model puts Leeds' fair win probability at 46 percent against a market-implied 44 percent from the 2.27 price, giving an edge of about 3.5 percent, with the overall recommended bet showing a larger 10.25 percent edge.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 0-0 (-1.00u at flat stakes).