Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Olympiakos Piraeus are priced at 1.34, implying an outcome probability of around 75 percent according to the market.
Levadiakos sit at long odds of 8.7, translating to roughly 11 percent implied probability of an away upset.
The draw is priced at 4.75, giving it an implied probability near 21 percent, the middle outcome in a heavily skewed market.
The Under 2.5 goals recommendation at 1.95 carries a negative value edge of -5.86 percent, indicating the price does not currently favour backing it purely on model value.
Team form
Head-to-head: Levadiakos v Olympiakos Piraeus
W/D/L shown from Levadiakos's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus: pre-match preview
Olympiakos Piraeus travel to face Levadiakos in a Greek Super League fixture where the market leaves little doubt about the expected outcome. Best odds of 1.34 on Olympiakos imply a win probability of roughly 75 percent, while Levadiakos at 8.7 reflects just over 11 percent, with the draw priced at 4.75 (about 21 percent). That is a lopsided contest on paper, with bookmakers strongly favouring the visitors from Piraeus. Away from the match-result market, our model's recommended angle is Under 2.5 goals at 1.95, a bet aimed at the total number of goals rather than the winner. This price carries a modelled confidence of 48 percent, but the calculated value edge is actually negative at -5.86 percent, meaning the odds on offer are not generous relative to the model's own estimate. No standout value picks were flagged elsewhere in the market for this fixture.
Verdict: The market strongly favours Olympiakos Piraeus to win, leaving Levadiakos as a clear underdog. The suggested Under 2.5 goals bet at 1.95 has moderate modelled confidence at 48 percent but a negative value edge, so it should be treated as a speculative, low-conviction option rather than a strong recommendation.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 0-1, for a flat-stake return of +1.08 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Greek Super League fixtures
All Greek Super League tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:00 | Panetolikos Agrinio v PAOK Thessaloniki | 170.00 | 29.00 | 1.03 |
| 10 Oct 15:00 | PAOK Thessaloniki v Kalamata FC | 1.25 | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | AEK Athens v OFI Crete | 1.20 | 6.10 | 14.00 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Asteras Tripolis v Atromitos Athens | 2.45 | 3.16 | 2.89 |
| 11 Oct 14:00 | Iraklis FC v Levadiakos | 2.47 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| 11 Oct 14:00 | AE Kifisia FC v Panetolikos Agrinio | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.55 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Aris Thessaloniki v Volos FC | 1.77 | 3.60 | 5.15 |
| 11 Oct 18:00 | Olympiakos Piraeus v Panathinaikos | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.39 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.08.
Olympiakos Piraeus are strong favourites at odds of 1.34, which implies a win probability of roughly 75 percent according to the available market prices.
The draw is available at 4.75, giving it an implied probability of around 21 percent.
The model's recommended bet, Under 2.5 goals at 1.95, actually shows a negative value edge of -5.86 percent, and no other value picks were flagged above threshold for this fixture.
The tip won — final score 0-1 (+1.08u at flat stakes).