English ⚽ Eliteserien 🕒 30 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
2.40
LostResult
1-4Final score
-1.00uProfit
47%Pre-match conf.
+5.73%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at William Hill
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Lillestrom at 1.65 imply about 61% win probability, making them a solid favourite over Fredrikstad FK.
02
Fredrikstad FK at 4.9 sit at only around 20% implied, reflecting a wide price gap between the sides.
03
The draw at 4.34 is priced near 23%, a fairly standard tie probability for a match with a clear favourite.
04
The Under 2.5 goals pick at 2.4 shows the largest value edge on the card at roughly 13.2%, against a market-implied confidence of about 47%.
Team form
LIL Lillestrom LWWLD
20 Sept 26 @ Viking FK 0-3
12 Sept 26 vs Vålerenga 2-0
5 Sept 26 @ SK Brann 2-1
30 Aug 26 vs Fredrikstad FK 1-4
15 Aug 26 @ KFUM 1-1
FF Fredrikstad FK DDLWW
20 Sept 26 @ Vålerenga 1-1
13 Sept 26 vs Sarpsborg FK 1-1
4 Sept 26 vs Bodø/Glimt 1-2
30 Aug 26 @ Lillestrom 4-1
16 Aug 26 vs Kristiansund BK 1-0
Head-to-head: Lillestrom v Fredrikstad FK
L 30 Aug 26
Lillestrom 1-4 Fredrikstad FKEliteserien
W/D/L shown from Lillestrom's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad FK: pre-match preview
This Eliteserien meeting between Lillestrom and Fredrikstad FK arrives with the home side clearly favoured by the market. Lillestrom are priced at 1.65, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 61%, marking them as the side the bookmakers expect to control the result. Fredrikstad FK, by contrast, sit out at 4.9, or about 20% implied, while the draw is offered at 4.34, close to a 23% chance. Those numbers point to a fixture in which the market sees a comfortable favourite rather than a coin-flip. Our model, however, looks past the match result and toward the total: the recommended bet here is Under 2.5 goals at 2.4 with William Hill, carrying an implied confidence of about 47% and a value edge of roughly 13.2%. That combination of a strong home price and a lean toward a lower-scoring game shapes how we approach the card.
Verdict: The recommended play is Under 2.5 goals at 2.4, backed by a 13.2% value edge and around 47% model confidence. That edge is meaningful, but under-50% confidence means this is far from a lock. Treat it as a value-driven selection and stake within your normal bankroll limits.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-4, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Eliteserien fixtures
All Eliteserien tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:16 | SK Brann v Bodø/Glimt | 2.18 | 2.88 | 7.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad FK?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.40.
Who is the favourite for Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad FK?+
Lillestrom are the favourites at 1.65, implying roughly a 61% chance. Fredrikstad FK are the outsiders at 4.9, around 20% implied.
What is the draw priced at?+
The draw is available at 4.34, which corresponds to an implied probability of about 23%.
Is there any value bet on this match?+
Our model flags Under 2.5 goals at 2.4 with William Hill as the value pick, showing an edge of about 13.2% at roughly 47% confidence. No match-result selection cleared our value threshold.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 1-4 (-1.00u at flat stakes).