English ⚽ Premier League 🕒 12 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.75
WonResult
0-0Final score
+0.75uProfit
61%Pre-match conf.
-1.69%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Liverpool's 1.51 price implies a win probability of roughly 66%, reflecting strong market confidence in the home side.
02
Fulham's 6.8 odds imply only around 15% chance of victory, while the draw at 5.2 implies close to 19%.
03
The recommended Under 3.5 goals bet at 1.75 carries a 61% model-implied confidence and a value edge of 7.05%, the standout angle in this preview.
04
No value picks were identified in the match-result market itself, suggesting the odds there are considered closely aligned with fair probability.
Team form
LIV Liverpool WDWDD
20 Sept 26 @ Bournemouth 1-0
12 Sept 26 vs Fulham 0-0
4 Sept 26 @ Ipswich Town 2-0
29 Aug 26 vs Nottingham 2-2
23 Aug 26 @ Newcastle 2-2
FUL Fulham DDLLL
20 Sept 26 vs Man United 1-1
12 Sept 26 @ Liverpool 0-0
5 Sept 26 vs Crystal Palace 2-3
30 Aug 26 @ Sunderland 0-1
24 Aug 26 vs Chelsea 2-3
Head-to-head: Liverpool v Fulham
Full H2H history → D 12 Sept 26
Liverpool 0-0 FulhamPremier League
W 11 Apr 26
Liverpool 2-0 FulhamPremier League
D 4 Jan 26
Fulham 2-2 LiverpoolPremier League
W/D/L shown from Liverpool's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Liverpool vs Fulham: pre-match preview
Liverpool host Fulham at Anfield in a Premier League fixture where the betting market leaves little doubt about the expected outcome. Liverpool are priced at 1.51 with 1xBet, which implies a win probability of around 66%, making them clear favourites. Fulham, at 6.8 with Betfair, are given roughly a 15% chance, while the draw sits at 5.2 with Tipico, implying about 19%. These prices point to a contest the market expects Liverpool to control, though football's inherent unpredictability means neither of the underdog outcomes should be dismissed outright. Rather than focusing purely on the result market, our model highlights value in the goals market: Under 3.5 goals at 1.75 with 1xBet, carrying a model confidence of 61% and a calculated edge of just over 7%, suggesting the total-goals line may offer better relative value than backing the outright favourite.
Verdict: The Under 3.5 goals selection at 1.75 stands out as the more data-supported angle, backed by a 61% confidence level and a 7% edge over the market. It is not without risk since goal totals can swing on a single late strike, but it appears better value than backing Liverpool outright at short odds.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 0-0, for a flat-stake return of +0.75 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Premier League fixtures
All Premier League tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 11:30 | Arsenal v Leeds United | 1.36 | 5.50 | 10.50 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Chelsea v Bournemouth | 1.88 | 4.30 | 4.11 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Sunderland v Brighton and Hove Albion | 2.93 | 3.70 | 2.59 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Ipswich Town v Fulham | 2.79 | 3.70 | 2.63 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Aston Villa v Brentford | 2.76 | 3.65 | 2.74 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur | 1.75 | 4.40 | 4.82 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Hull City v Everton | 3.85 | 3.54 | 2.14 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest | 2.76 | 3.47 | 2.80 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Premier League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton Hove | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds United | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Man United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry City | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Liverpool vs Fulham?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.75.
Who is favourite in the Liverpool vs Fulham match?+
Liverpool are strong favourites according to the odds, priced at 1.51, which implies roughly a 66% chance of winning.
What are the draw odds for Liverpool vs Fulham?+
The draw is priced at 5.2 with Tipico, implying an approximate 19% probability.
Is there value in betting on this fixture?+
The match-result market shows no identified value picks, but the model flags value in the goals market, recommending Under 3.5 goals at 1.75 with a 7.05% edge.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 0-0 (+0.75u at flat stakes).