English ⚽ Danish Superliga 🕒 18 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.68
LostResult
0-4Final score
-1.00uProfit
61%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Unibet (NL)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Lyngby are priced at 1.71, implying an approximate 58% win probability, the clearest signal of favouritism in this match-result market.
02
Silkeborg IF's 4.3 price and the draw's 4.1 price both sit in the low-to-mid 20% implied range, suggesting the market sees them as similarly unlikely outcomes.
03
The combined implied probabilities exceed 100% (around 106%), reflecting the standard bookmaker margin built into these odds.
04
The recommended Under 3.5 goals bet at 1.68 carries a 61% model confidence against a 59.5% implied probability from the odds, giving a value edge of roughly 3.07%.
Team form
LYN Lyngby LDWLD
18 Sept 26 vs Silkeborg IF 0-4
13 Sept 26 vs SonderjyskE 1-1
4 Sept 26 @ Viborg FF 2-0
23 Aug 26 @ AC Horsens 1-2
16 Aug 26 vs FC Midtjylland 1-1
SI Silkeborg IF WDDLW
18 Sept 26 @ Lyngby 4-0
13 Sept 26 vs Viborg FF 1-1
5 Sept 26 @ AGF Aarhus 2-2
16 Aug 26 @ FC Nordsjaelland 0-1
10 Aug 26 vs OB Odense BK 1-0
Head-to-head: Lyngby v Silkeborg IF
L 18 Sept 26
Lyngby 0-4 Silkeborg IFDanish Superliga
W/D/L shown from Lyngby's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Lyngby vs Silkeborg IF: pre-match preview
Lyngby host Silkeborg IF in a Danish Superliga fixture where the betting market leans clearly toward the home side. Best available odds of 1.71 on Lyngby imply a win probability of roughly 58%, while Silkeborg IF at 4.3 reflects around 23%, and the draw at 4.1 sits close to 24%. That gap suggests bookmakers see this as a fairly one-sided contest on paper, though Superliga matches can still be tight affairs. Rather than backing the outright winner, our model points toward the game's overall goal output, recommending Under 3.5 goals at 1.68. This price implies a probability near 60%, and the model assigns a slightly higher confidence of 61%, producing a modest value edge of just over 3%. It's a market angle that sidesteps the win-draw-win pricing entirely and focuses on total goals instead.
Verdict: The Under 3.5 goals selection at 1.68 offers a modest statistical edge of about 3% over the implied market price, with confidence just above the breakeven threshold. It's not a high-conviction pick, more a marginal value angle, so stake sizing should stay conservative and within a managed bankroll.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-4, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Lyngby vs Silkeborg IF?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.68.
Who is favourite in the Lyngby vs Silkeborg IF match?+
Lyngby are the clear market favourites, priced at 1.71, which implies roughly a 58% chance of victory according to the odds.
What is the draw priced at for this fixture?+
The draw is priced at 4.1 with Unibet (NL), implying an approximate 24% probability.
Is there value in this Lyngby vs Silkeborg IF match according to the model?+
The model does not flag value on the match-result market itself, but it identifies a small edge on Under 3.5 goals at 1.68, with about a 3.07% value margin over the implied odds.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 0-4 (-1.00u at flat stakes).