English ⚽ Ligue 1 🕒 29 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
2.14
VoidResult
0.00uProfit
50%Pre-match conf.
-0.47%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Lyon are strong favourites at 1.54, implying about a 65% chance, with Le Havre well behind at 5.9 (around 17%).
02
The draw is priced at 4.5, roughly a 22% implied probability, a fairly standard mid-range number for a favourite-heavy match.
03
The recommended bet is Under 2.5 goals at 2.0, carrying a market-implied confidence of 48% and a slight negative value edge of -4.71%.
04
The model's value flags favour the underdog outcomes: Le Havre shows a 24.79% edge (fair prob 21%) and the draw a 14.1% edge (fair prob 25%).
Team form
LYO Lyon WDWDW
19 Sept 26 vs Stade Rennais 4-0
12 Sept 26 @ Paris FC 0-0
4 Sept 26 vs Auxerre 3-1
29 Aug 26 vs Le Havre 1-1
22 Aug 26 @ Toulouse 2-0
LH Le Havre LDLDL
19 Sept 26 @ Toulouse 2-3
12 Sept 26 vs Angers SCO 0-0
5 Sept 26 vs Brest 1-2
29 Aug 26 @ Olympique Lyon 1-1
23 Aug 26 vs Monaco 0-1
Head-to-head: Lyon v Le Havre
Full H2H history → D 29 Aug 26
Olympique Lyon 1-1 Le HavreLigue 1
D 15 Mar 26
Le Havre 0-0 Olympique LyonLigue 1
W 14 Dec 25
Olympique Lyon 1-0 Le HavreLigue 1
W/D/L shown from Lyon's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Lyon vs Le Havre: pre-match preview
Lyon host Le Havre in this Ligue 1 fixture as clear favourites in the eyes of the market. At 1.54, Lyon are priced with an implied probability of roughly 65%, marking them as the side the bookmakers expect to control proceedings. The draw sits at 4.5 (around 22% implied), while Le Havre are the outsiders at 5.9, which converts to only about 17% in the eyes of the market. Those numbers paint a familiar picture of a home favourite against a priced-up underdog. Our model, however, steers away from the match-result market and toward totals: it recommends Under 2.5 goals at 2.0 with a market-implied confidence of 48%. Notably, the value flags fall on the outcomes the market rates as unlikely, with edges identified on both Le Havre and the draw. Below we break down where the prices and probabilities point, and how the recommended bet fits.
Verdict: The recommended play is Under 2.5 goals at 2.0. With market-implied confidence around 48% and a small negative value edge, this is close to a coin-flip proposition rather than a standout spot. Treat it as a modest, considered wager and stake within your usual limits.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Ligue 1 fixtures
All Ligue 1 tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:45 | Marseille v Paris Saint Germain | 7.40 | 5.50 | 1.46 |
| 9 Oct 18:45 | RC Lens v Lyon | 2.26 | 3.85 | 3.25 |
| 10 Oct 15:15 | Lille v Le Havre | 1.48 | 4.88 | 7.80 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | AS Monaco v Toulouse | 1.82 | 4.11 | 4.70 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Brest v Angers | 2.00 | 3.85 | 3.95 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Lorient v Paris FC | 3.04 | 3.60 | 2.48 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Paris Saint Germain v Le Mans FC | 1.12 | 13.40 | 24.00 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Nice v Strasbourg | 2.29 | 3.72 | 3.23 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Ligue 1 standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Angers SCO | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | PSG | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Brest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | RC Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Lyon vs Le Havre?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.14.
Who is the favourite for Lyon vs Le Havre?+
Lyon are the clear favourites at 1.54, an implied probability of about 65%. Le Havre are the outsiders at 5.9, roughly 17%.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is best priced at 4.5 with GTbets, which equates to an implied probability of around 22%.
Is there any value in this match?+
The model highlights value on the underdog outcomes: Le Havre at 5.9 shows a 24.79% edge and the draw at 4.5 a 14.1% edge. The featured Under 2.5 goals bet at 2.0 actually carries a small negative edge of -4.71%.
Did the tip win?+
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).