English ⚽ Championship 🕒 29 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.95
VoidResult
0.00uProfit
53%Pre-match conf.
-3.47%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Betsson
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
The match-result prices make Middlesbrough favourites at 1.77 (about 56% implied) against West Brom at 5.2 (roughly 19%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.85, implying around a 26% chance, sitting between the two match-result outcomes.
03
The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 1.93 carries a market-implied confidence near 49%, close to an even split.
04
The value edge on that Under is -5.02%, and no value picks cleared our threshold, so there is no measurable market advantage flagged.
Team form
MID Middlesbrough DDWWD
19 Sept 26 @ Birmingham 2-2
15 Sept 26 vs Millwall 2-2
12 Sept 26 vs Norwich 4-3
5 Sept 26 @ QPR 1-0
2 Sept 26 @ Burnley 1-1
WBA West Bromwich Albion LDWWD
20 Sept 26 @ Wolverhampton 0-1
12 Sept 26 vs QPR 1-1
9 Sept 26 @ Derby County 1-0
5 Sept 26 vs Watford 1-0
2 Sept 26 vs Charlton 1-1
Head-to-head: Middlesbrough v West Bromwich Albion
Full H2H history → W 29 Aug 26
Middlesbrough 3-1 West BromChampionship
W 16 Jan 26
West Brom 2-3 MiddlesbroughChampionship
W 19 Sept 25
Middlesbrough 2-1 West BromChampionship
W/D/L shown from Middlesbrough's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich Albion: pre-match preview
Middlesbrough host West Bromwich Albion in the Championship, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Boro are priced at 1.77 with 1xBet, which implies a win probability of roughly 56%, while West Brom drift out to 5.2 (about 19% implied) with Codere. The draw sits at 3.85 with Coolbet, or around 26% in probability terms. That is a fairly clear home lean rather than a coin-flip, with the visitors treated as sizeable underdogs. Our model's attention, though, is on the goals market rather than the result. The recommended angle is Under 2.5 goals at 1.93 with Coolbet, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 49%. Notably, the value edge on that pick reads at -5.02%, meaning the price offers no measurable advantage over the model's estimate. With no value picks clearing our threshold here, this is a fixture to approach selectively rather than force.
Verdict: The model leans to Under 2.5 goals at 1.93, but with a negative value edge of -5.02% and no picks over threshold, this is a low-conviction spot. Treat it as a marginal call rather than a strong signal, and stake conservatively if you decide to play.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Championship fixtures
All Championship tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 19:00 | West Ham United v Queens Park Rangers | 1.55 | 4.90 | 6.80 |
| 10 Oct 11:30 | Swansea City v Norwich City | 2.66 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| 10 Oct 11:30 | West Bromwich Albion v Birmingham City | 2.31 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| 10 Oct 11:30 | Charlton Athletic v Bristol City | 3.35 | 3.40 | 2.32 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Middlesbrough v Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2.21 | 3.73 | 3.40 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Blackburn Rovers v Cardiff City | 2.72 | 3.75 | 2.70 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Sheffield United v Lincoln City | 2.03 | 3.65 | 4.00 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Preston North End v Millwall | 2.66 | 3.40 | 2.71 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Championship standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 10 |
| 12 | Millwall | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 19 | Lincoln City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston NE | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich Albion?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.95.
Who is the favourite for Middlesbrough vs West Brom?+
Middlesbrough are the favourites at 1.77 with 1xBet, implying roughly a 56% chance. West Brom are the underdogs at 5.2, around 19% implied.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.85 with Coolbet, which implies about a 26% probability.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
Based on our data, no value picks cleared the threshold. The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 1.93 actually shows a negative edge of -5.02%, so no measurable value is flagged.
Did the tip win?+
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).