English ⚽ Championship 🕒 2 Sept 2026
Our tip
Millwall to win
Odds
2.36
LostResult
0-3Final score
-1.00uProfit
45%Pre-match conf.
-0.84%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Betfair
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Millwall are priced at 2.36 (Betfair), implying a win probability of about 42%, the shortest odds of the three outcomes.
02
Wrexham AFC's best price of 3.37 (BetOnline.ag) implies roughly 30% win probability, making them clear underdogs by market pricing.
03
The draw at 3.55 (Betfair) implies close to 28%, keeping the outcome spread relatively tight between all three results.
04
The model's recommended Millwall bet carries a 6.78% value edge based on a 45% confidence estimate versus the market's 42% implied probability.
Team form
MIL Millwall DDLWL
19 Sept 26 vs West Ham 2-2
15 Sept 26 @ Middlesbrough 2-2
12 Sept 26 @ Blackburn 1-3
5 Sept 26 vs Bolton 4-0
2 Sept 26 vs Wrexham 0-3
WA Wrexham AFC WLDDW
19 Sept 26 vs Southampton 2-1
11 Sept 26 @ West Ham 0-6
8 Sept 26 vs Burnley 1-1
5 Sept 26 @ Swansea 0-0
2 Sept 26 @ Millwall 3-0
Head-to-head: Millwall v Wrexham AFC
Full H2H history → L 2 Sept 26
Millwall 0-3 WrexhamChampionship
W 7 Feb 26
Wrexham 0-2 MillwallChampionship
L 30 Aug 25
Millwall 0-2 WrexhamChampionship
W/D/L shown from Millwall's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Millwall vs Wrexham AFC: pre-match preview
Millwall host Wrexham AFC in a Championship fixture where the betting market makes the home side a moderate favourite. Best available odds price Millwall at 2.36, which implies a win probability of roughly 42%, while Wrexham's 3.37 price points to around 30%, and the draw at 3.55 suggests approximately 28%. None of these figures represent an overwhelming favourite, and the gap between Millwall and Wrexham is notable but not decisive. Our model flags Millwall to win at 2.36 as the recommended bet, citing a market-implied confidence of 45% against the bookmaker's implied 42%, producing a value edge of 6.78%. That edge suggests the price may be slightly generous relative to the model's assessment, though the fixture remains competitive on paper according to the pricing across Millwall, Wrexham AFC and the draw.
Verdict: Millwall are the market's pick, and the model's 6.78% edge on their 2.36 price offers a modest statistical case for backing them. This is not a dominant favourite scenario, so the bet should be treated as moderate risk, with the draw and Wrexham both live outcomes according to the odds.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-3, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Championship fixtures
All Championship tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 19:00 | West Ham United v Queens Park Rangers | 1.55 | 4.90 | 6.80 |
| 10 Oct 11:30 | Swansea City v Norwich City | 2.66 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| 10 Oct 11:30 | West Bromwich Albion v Birmingham City | 2.31 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| 10 Oct 11:30 | Charlton Athletic v Bristol City | 3.35 | 3.40 | 2.32 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Middlesbrough v Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2.21 | 3.73 | 3.40 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Blackburn Rovers v Cardiff City | 2.72 | 3.75 | 2.70 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Sheffield United v Lincoln City | 2.03 | 3.65 | 4.00 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Preston North End v Millwall | 2.66 | 3.40 | 2.71 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Championship standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 10 |
| 12 | Millwall | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 19 | Lincoln City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston NE | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Millwall vs Wrexham AFC?+
Our tip was Millwall to win at odds of 2.36.
Who is favourite in the Millwall vs Wrexham AFC match?+
Millwall are favourites according to the odds, priced at 2.36 which implies roughly a 42% chance of winning, compared to Wrexham AFC's 3.37 (about 30%).
What are the odds on the draw for Millwall vs Wrexham AFC?+
The draw is priced at 3.55 on Betfair, implying an approximate 28% probability, which is close to Wrexham's implied win chance.
Is there value in backing Millwall against Wrexham AFC?+
The model identifies a 6.78% value edge on Millwall at 2.36, based on a 45% confidence level versus the market's 42% implied probability, though no bets are ever without risk.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 0-3 (-1.00u at flat stakes).