English ⚽ Allsvenskan 🕒 15 Aug 2026
Our tip
Mjällby AIF to win
Odds
3.35
WonResult
4-3Final score
+2.35uProfit
35%Pre-match conf.
+1.52%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Unibet (SE)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
IK Sirius are the market favourites at 2.12, implying roughly 47%, versus Mjällby AIF at 3.35, implying around 30%.
02
The draw is priced at 3.85, equating to a market-implied probability of about 26%.
03
Our model sees value on Mjällby AIF, quoting a 35% confidence against the market's lower estimate, producing an 18.82% value edge.
04
No other selections cleared our value threshold for this fixture, so the recommended bet is the sole flagged angle.
Team form
MA Mjällby AIF LDDLL
20 Sept 26 vs GAIS 0-3
16 Sept 26 @ AIK 1-1
11 Sept 26 @ BK Hacken 1-1
7 Sept 26 vs IFK Goteborg 1-4
3 Sept 26 vs Djurgardens IF 0-2
IS IK Sirius WWWLL
19 Sept 26 @ Örgryte IS 2-1
14 Sept 26 vs Degerfors IF 2-0
5 Sept 26 @ Västerås SK 1-0
31 Aug 26 vs Malmo FF 0-1
21 Aug 26 vs BK Hacken 0-3
Head-to-head: Mjällby AIF v IK Sirius
W 15 Aug 26
Mjällby AIF 4-3 IK SiriusAllsvenskan
W/D/L shown from Mjällby AIF's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Mjällby AIF vs IK Sirius: pre-match preview
This Allsvenskan clash pits Mjällby AIF against IK Sirius, and the market leans clearly toward the visitors. Unibet (SE) prices IK Sirius at 2.12, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 47%, marking them as the favourites here. Mjällby AIF sit as underdogs at 3.35, implying about a 30% chance, while the draw is offered at 3.85, or close to 26% in probability terms. Our model, however, points in the other direction: it recommends backing Mjällby AIF to win at 3.35, assigning a market-implied confidence of 35% and flagging a value edge of around 18.82%. That gap between the model's estimate and the market's pricing is the entire basis for the pick. It is a contrarian, value-driven angle rather than a call that Mjällby are outright likely to win, so it should be weighed accordingly and staked within a sensible bankroll.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Mjällby AIF to win at 3.35, driven by an 18.82% value edge rather than favouritism. This is a higher-risk underdog pick: the market still rates IK Sirius as more likely to win, so treat it as a value play and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 4-3, for a flat-stake return of +2.35 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Mjällby AIF vs IK Sirius?+
Our tip was Mjällby AIF to win at odds of 3.35.
Who is the favourite for Mjällby AIF vs IK Sirius?+
IK Sirius are the favourites at 2.12 with Unibet (SE), implying a market probability of about 47%. Mjällby AIF are the underdogs at 3.35, roughly 30%.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.85 with Unibet (SE), which corresponds to a market-implied probability of around 26%.
Is there any betting value in this match?+
Our model identifies value on Mjällby AIF to win at 3.35, with a value edge of 18.82% and a model confidence of 35%. No other selections met our value threshold.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 4-3 (+2.35u at flat stakes).