English ⚽ Ekstraklasa 🕒 29 Aug 2026
Our tip
Motor Lublin to win
Odds
2.39
VoidResult
0.00uProfit
44%Pre-match conf.
+0.84%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Pinnacle
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Motor Lublin are the favourites at 2.39 (about 42% implied), but only narrowly ahead of Piast Gliwice at 2.83 (about 35%).
02
The gap between the two sides' prices is small, pointing to a competitive, closely matched fixture.
03
The draw is priced at 3.75, roughly 27% implied, a realistic outcome that should not be dismissed.
04
Our model flags a modest 4.44% value edge on Motor Lublin, with market-implied confidence around 44%.
Team form
ML Motor Lublin DLLDW
19 Sept 26 vs Górnik Zabrze 0-0
11 Sept 26 @ Raków Częstochowa 1-2
5 Sept 26 vs Legia Warszawa 2-3
22 Aug 26 @ Korona Kielce 1-1
16 Aug 26 vs GKS Katowice 1-0
PG Piast Gliwice LWWDL
20 Sept 26 vs Pogoń Szczecin 1-2
14 Sept 26 @ Radomiak Radom 2-0
4 Sept 26 vs GKS Katowice 3-0
22 Aug 26 vs Legia Warszawa 1-1
15 Aug 26 vs Wieczysta Kraków 3-4
Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice: pre-match preview
This Ekstraklasa fixture sees Motor Lublin host Piast Gliwice, with the market giving the home side a modest edge. Motor Lublin are priced at 2.39, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 42%, while Piast Gliwice sit at 2.83, or around 35%. The draw is quoted at 3.75, close to 27% in implied terms. Those numbers describe a genuinely open contest rather than a lopsided one, with the favourite far from a runaway pick. Our model leans towards Motor Lublin to win at 2.39, assigning market-implied confidence of about 44% and identifying a small value edge of 4.44% at the current price. That edge is slim but positive, suggesting the home odds may be marginally generous relative to their true chances. As always with tightly priced matches, the outcome remains uncertain and the margins are fine.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Motor Lublin to win at 2.39, backed by a small positive value edge of 4.44% and around 44% model confidence. This is a low-to-moderate risk lean rather than a strong call, given the tight pricing. Stake responsibly and treat the edge as marginal.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Ekstraklasa fixtures
All Ekstraklasa tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:15 | Lech Poznań v Radomiak Radom | 1.14 | 10.00 | 28.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice?+
Our tip was Motor Lublin to win at odds of 2.39.
Who is the favourite for Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice?+
Motor Lublin are the market favourites at 2.39, implying roughly a 42% chance. Piast Gliwice are close behind at 2.83, around 35%, so the margin is slim.
What are the draw odds for this match?+
The draw is priced at 3.75 with Coolbet, which equates to an implied probability of about 27%. It is a plausible outcome in a closely priced fixture.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
Our model identifies a small value edge of 4.44% on Motor Lublin at 2.39, with market-implied confidence near 44%. No other selection cleared the value threshold, so the edge is modest.
Did the tip win?+
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).