English ⚽ Ligue 1 🕒 22 Aug 2026
Our tip
Lorient to win
Odds
3.45
LostResult
0-0Final score
-1.00uProfit
30%Pre-match conf.
+2.99%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Betfair
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Nice are favourites at 2.25 (about 44% implied), a moderate rather than commanding edge over Lorient.
02
Lorient at 3.45 imply roughly 29%, keeping the away win a live possibility on the pricing.
03
The draw at 3.78 sits close to the Lorient price, suggesting the market does not expect a one-sided contest.
04
Over 2.5 goals at 1.84 implies around 54% confidence, but the value edge is negative at -1.49%, so no clear market inefficiency stands out.
Team form
NIC Nice WLDLD
20 Sept 26 vs Lille 2-1
12 Sept 26 @ Auxerre 0-1
5 Sept 26 vs Le Mans 1-1
30 Aug 26 @ Paris FC 0-3
22 Aug 26 vs Lorient 0-0
LOR Lorient LDWLD
19 Sept 26 @ Le Mans 1-2
12 Sept 26 vs Toulouse 2-2
5 Sept 26 @ RC Lens 1-0
29 Aug 26 vs Troyes 1-2
22 Aug 26 @ Nice 0-0
Head-to-head: Nice v Lorient
Full H2H history → D 22 Aug 26
Nice 0-0 LorientLigue 1
D 22 Feb 26
Nice 3-3 LorientLigue 1
L 30 Nov 25
Lorient 3-1 NiceLigue 1
W/D/L shown from Nice's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Nice vs Lorient: pre-match preview
Nice host Lorient in this Ligue 1 clash, and the market leans clearly toward the home side. At 2.25, Nice are the favourites, a price that implies roughly a 44% chance of victory. Lorient are the outsiders at 3.45, translating to around 29%, while the draw sits at 3.78, or about 26% in implied terms. Those numbers point to a fixture the bookmakers see as tilted toward Nice without treating the result as a foregone conclusion, since the visitors and the stalemate together hold meaningful probability. Rather than backing the match result, our model turns to the goals market. The recommended bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.84, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 54%. Note that the value edge here is marginal and negative at -1.49%, so this is a lean rather than a standout price. Treat it accordingly and stake within sensible limits.
Verdict: The model favours Over 2.5 goals at 1.84, reflecting an expectation of an open game. With a slightly negative value edge, this is a modest lean rather than a strong price, so approach it as a low-conviction pick and manage your stake carefully.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-0, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 22 Aug 26
Over 2.5 goalsfinal score 0-0
1.84 -1.00u Upcoming Ligue 1 fixtures
All Ligue 1 tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:45 | Marseille v Paris Saint Germain | 7.40 | 5.50 | 1.46 |
| 9 Oct 18:45 | RC Lens v Lyon | 2.26 | 3.85 | 3.25 |
| 10 Oct 15:15 | Lille v Le Havre | 1.48 | 4.88 | 7.80 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | AS Monaco v Toulouse | 1.82 | 4.11 | 4.70 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Brest v Angers | 2.00 | 3.85 | 3.95 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Lorient v Paris FC | 3.04 | 3.60 | 2.48 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Paris Saint Germain v Le Mans FC | 1.12 | 13.40 | 24.00 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Nice v Strasbourg | 2.29 | 3.72 | 3.23 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Ligue 1 standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Angers SCO | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | PSG | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Brest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | RC Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Nice vs Lorient?+
Our tip was Lorient to win at odds of 3.45.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 0-0 (-1.00u at flat stakes).