English ⚽ League One 🕒 15 Aug 2026
Our tip
Leicester City to win
Odds
2.32
LostResult
1-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
46%Pre-match conf.
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Matchbook
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Leicester City are the favourites at 2.08 (about 48% implied), but the price reflects a contest rather than a heavy mismatch.
02
Notts County at 3.65 imply roughly 27%, with the draw priced close by at 3.4 (about 29%), underlining a tight-looking market.
03
The gap between the home win and the draw is narrow, suggesting the market rates a stalemate almost as likely as a Notts County victory.
04
The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 1.81 shows a negative value edge of -4.32%, so the model sees confidence in a low-scoring game but no pricing advantage.
Team form
NC Notts County LLDDD
19 Sept 26 @ Reading 0-2
12 Sept 26 vs Bradford City 0-1
5 Sept 26 @ Huddersfield Town 1-1
1 Sept 26 @ Doncaster Rovers 1-1
22 Aug 26 @ Luton 2-2
LC Leicester City DWLWL
19 Sept 26 @ Barnsley 1-1
12 Sept 26 @ Stockport County FC 4-3
5 Sept 26 vs Oxford United 0-4
1 Sept 26 vs Plymouth Argyle 2-0
22 Aug 26 vs Burton Albion 1-2
Head-to-head: Notts County v Leicester City
D 15 Aug 26
Notts County 1-1 Leicester CityLeague One
W/D/L shown from Notts County's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Notts County vs Leicester City: pre-match preview
Notts County host Leicester City in this League One fixture, and the market leans clearly toward the visitors. Leicester City are priced at 2.08 with Betsson, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 48%, making them the favourites without being overwhelming choices. Notts County sit at 3.65 (Betfair), implying about 27%, while the draw is available at 3.4 (Betfair), around 29% in probability terms. That spread points to a game the market sees as competitive rather than one-sided. Our model does not flag value on the match result; instead its recommended angle is Under 2.5 goals at 1.81 with LeoVegas (SE), carrying a market-implied confidence near 53%. It is worth noting the value edge here reads at -4.32%, meaning the price offers no positive expected value on paper. Treat the numbers as context and manage your stakes sensibly rather than chasing the total.
Verdict: The lean is toward Under 2.5 goals at 1.81, backed by a market-implied confidence around 53%. Be aware the value edge is negative at -4.32%, so this is a modest-confidence total rather than a priced-in advantage. Stake responsibly and only within a bankroll you are comfortable risking.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming League One fixtures
All League One tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Wycombe Wanderers v Reading | 2.60 | 3.70 | 2.73 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Bradford City v Barnsley | 1.78 | 3.75 | 4.30 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Milton Keynes Dons v Bromley FC | 1.68 | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Doncaster Rovers v Oxford United | 2.03 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Cambridge United v Wimbledon | 1.83 | 3.70 | 4.70 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Stevenage v Sheffield Wednesday | 2.95 | 3.25 | 2.38 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Notts County v Blackpool | 2.35 | 3.30 | 2.95 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Plymouth Argyle v Burton Albion | 1.64 | 4.05 | 5.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Notts County vs Leicester City?+
Our tip was Leicester City to win at odds of 2.32.
Who is the favourite for Notts County vs Leicester City?+
Leicester City are the favourites at 2.08 with Betsson, implying roughly a 48% chance. Notts County are outsiders at 3.65, around 27% implied.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.4 with Betfair, which equates to an implied probability of about 29%. That is close to the price on a Notts County win.
Is there any betting value in this match?+
No match-result value picks cleared our threshold. The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 1.81 has a market-implied confidence near 53% but a negative value edge of -4.32%, so there is no positive expected value on the numbers.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 1-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).