English ⚽ Greek Super League 🕒 12 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.65
WonResult
0-1Final score
+0.65uProfit
64%Pre-match conf.
+3.12%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Olympiakos are priced at 1.29, implying an approximate 77-78% win probability, a substantial gap over OFI Crete's 9.0 (about 11%).
02
The draw at 5.3 implies roughly a 19% chance, sitting well behind Olympiakos but ahead of an OFI win in market terms.
03
The bookmakers' combined overround of around 7.5% is typical, meaning the true probabilities are likely a touch lower than the raw implied figures across all three outcomes.
04
The Under 3.5 goals selection at 1.65 carries a model-estimated 64% confidence and a 5.3% value edge, making it the only pick flagged as offering value in this fixture.
Team form
OP Olympiakos Piraeus WLDWW
20 Sept 26 @ Levadiakos 1-0
12 Sept 26 vs OFI Crete 0-1
5 Sept 26 @ Volos FC 1-1
30 Aug 26 @ Asteras Tripolis 1-0
22 Aug 26 vs Atromitos Athens 1-0
OC OFI Crete DWWLW
20 Sept 26 vs Asteras Tripolis 2-2
12 Sept 26 @ Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0
6 Sept 26 vs AE Kifisia FC 2-0
30 Aug 26 @ Aris Thessaloniki 1-2
23 Aug 26 vs Volos FC 2-0
Head-to-head: Olympiakos Piraeus v OFI Crete
L 12 Sept 26
Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 OFI CreteGreek Super League
W/D/L shown from Olympiakos Piraeus's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI Crete: pre-match preview
Olympiakos Piraeus host OFI Crete in a Greek Super League fixture where the betting market leaves little doubt about the expected outcome. Best odds of 1.29 on Olympiakos imply a win probability of roughly 77-78%, making them heavy favourites, while OFI Crete's 9.0 price points to just an 11% chance of an away win. The draw sits at 5.3, implying around 19%. With the result market so lopsided, our recommended angle steps away from the 1X2 market altogether: Under 3.5 goals at 1.65, which our model rates at 64% confidence with a 5.3% edge over the market's implied pricing. This suggests better value may lie in the goals market than in backing the short-priced favourite outright, though as always the underlying result remains uncertain and no outcome is assured.
Verdict: With no value spotted in the win-draw-win market given Olympiakos' short price, the Under 3.5 goals bet at 1.65 stands out as the more considered option, backed by a modest 5.3% edge and 64% model confidence. It is not a high-risk selection, but goals markets can still swing on a single late strike, so measured staking is sensible.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 0-1, for a flat-stake return of +0.65 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
W 12 Sept 26
Under 2.5 goalsfinal score 0-1
2.30 +1.30u Upcoming Greek Super League fixtures
All Greek Super League tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:00 | Panetolikos Agrinio v PAOK Thessaloniki | 170.00 | 29.00 | 1.03 |
| 10 Oct 15:00 | PAOK Thessaloniki v Kalamata FC | 1.25 | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | AEK Athens v OFI Crete | 1.20 | 6.10 | 14.00 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Asteras Tripolis v Atromitos Athens | 2.45 | 3.16 | 2.89 |
| 11 Oct 14:00 | Iraklis FC v Levadiakos | 2.47 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| 11 Oct 14:00 | AE Kifisia FC v Panetolikos Agrinio | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.55 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Aris Thessaloniki v Volos FC | 1.77 | 3.60 | 5.15 |
| 11 Oct 18:00 | Olympiakos Piraeus v Panathinaikos | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.39 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI Crete?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.65.
Who is favourite in Olympiakos vs OFI Crete?+
Olympiakos Piraeus are strong favourites, priced at 1.29, which implies a win probability of around 77-78%. OFI Crete are outsiders at 9.0, implying roughly 11%.
What is the draw price for this Greek Super League match?+
The best available draw odds are 5.3, which implies an approximate 19% chance of a draw according to the market.
Is there value in betting on this fixture?+
The main value flagged by our model is in the goals market, not the match result: Under 3.5 goals at 1.65 shows a 5.3% edge with 64% model confidence, while no value picks were identified in the 1X2 market.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 0-1 (+0.65u at flat stakes).