English ⚽ Allsvenskan 🕒 6 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.99
WonResult
1-1Final score
+0.99uProfit
52%Pre-match conf.
-6.13%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Matchbook
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Hammarby are priced at 1.28, implying roughly a 78% chance of victory according to the market
02
Örgryte's 12.0 odds put their implied win probability at about 8%, reflecting a wide gap between the sides
03
The draw at 6.81 implies close to a 15% chance, a live but secondary outcome given the price disparity
04
The Over 3.5 goals recommendation carries a market-implied confidence of 51% and a value edge of -3.51%, meaning it does not clear our value threshold despite being the model's pick
Team form
ÖI Örgryte IS LLDLD
19 Sept 26 vs IK Sirius 1-2
13 Sept 26 @ Malmo FF 1-4
6 Sept 26 vs Hammarby IF 1-1
30 Aug 26 @ IFK Goteborg 0-1
22 Aug 26 vs Halmstads BK 1-1
HI Hammarby IF WWDWW
20 Sept 26 @ Degerfors IF 1-0
13 Sept 26 vs IF Brommapojkarna 3-1
6 Sept 26 @ Örgryte IS 1-1
23 Aug 26 vs GAIS 2-0
16 Aug 26 @ Kalmar FF 4-0
Head-to-head: Örgryte IS v Hammarby IF
D 6 Sept 26
Örgryte IS 1-1 Hammarby IFAllsvenskan
W/D/L shown from Örgryte IS's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Örgryte IS vs Hammarby IF: pre-match preview
Örgryte IS host Hammarby IF in an Allsvenskan clash where the betting market leaves little doubt about the pecking order. Hammarby are priced at 1.28 with GTbets, translating to an implied win probability of roughly 78%, making them heavy favourites on paper. Örgryte, at best odds of 12.0 with Unibet, are given only around 8% by the market, while the draw sits at 6.81 with Pinnacle, implying close to 15%. With the result market so one-sided, our model looks past the outright winner and points to the goals market instead, flagging Over 3.5 goals at 1.91 with LeoVegas as the recommended angle, built on the expectation that a big favourite at home could produce an open, goal-heavy contest.
Verdict: The recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 1.91 reflects a goal-heavy expectation given Hammarby's dominant market position, but the -3.51% value edge shows it is not a clear-cut value play. Treat it as a moderate-risk selection and size stakes conservatively.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of +0.99 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 6 Sept 26
Hammarby IF to winfinal score 1-1
1.61 -1.00u Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Örgryte IS vs Hammarby IF?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.99.
Who is favourite in the Örgryte vs Hammarby match?+
Hammarby IF are strongly favoured, priced at 1.28, which implies roughly a 78% chance of winning according to the market.
What is the draw priced at for this Allsvenskan fixture?+
The best available draw odds are 6.81 with Pinnacle, implying an approximate 15% chance of a draw.
Is there value in betting on this match?+
No selection clears our value threshold; the highlighted Over 3.5 goals bet at 1.91 has a market-implied confidence of 51% but a negative value edge of -3.51%, so it should be viewed as a model lean rather than a clear value bet.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 1-1 (+0.99u at flat stakes).