English ⚽ Greek Super League 🕒 13 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
2.20
LostResult
3-0Final score
-1.00uProfit
47%Pre-match conf.
-5.17%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Panathinaikos are priced at 1.31, implying a market probability of about 76% for a home win, making them strong favourites.
02
Panetolikos Agrinio's 10.60 price implies only around 9.4% probability, reflecting a wide gap between the two sides.
03
The draw at 5.05 implies roughly 19.8%, keeping it a live but secondary outcome relative to a home win.
04
The recommended Under 2.5 Goals bet at 2.20 carries a modelled 47% confidence and a 3.8% edge, the only pick above the site's value threshold this fixture.
Team form
PAN Panathinaikos WWWWW
20 Sept 26 @ Kalamata FC 1-0
13 Sept 26 vs Panetolikos Agrinio 3-0
10 Sept 26 vs AE Kifisia FC 3-1
6 Sept 26 vs PAOK Thessaloniki 3-1
31 Aug 26 @ Levadiakos 2-0
PA Panetolikos Agrinio LWW
13 Sept 26 @ Panathinaikos 0-3
6 Sept 26 @ Levadiakos 2-0
23 Aug 26 vs Asteras Tripolis 3-1
Head-to-head: Panathinaikos v Panetolikos Agrinio
W 13 Sept 26
Panathinaikos 3-0 Panetolikos AgrinioGreek Super League
W/D/L shown from Panathinaikos's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos Agrinio: pre-match preview
Panathinaikos host Panetolikos Agrinio in the Greek Super League as heavy favourites according to the betting market. Odds of 1.31 for a home win imply a probability of roughly 76%, while Panetolikos at 10.60 are priced at just under 9.4%. The draw sits at 5.05, translating to around 19.8%, giving a combined overround of about 5.5% once bookmaker margin is accounted for. With the result market so skewed toward Panathinaikos, our model instead looks at the goals market, recommending Under 2.5 Goals at 2.20 with a 47% implied confidence and a 3.8% value edge over the market consensus. This suggests the model sees more value in the total-goals line than in backing the short-priced favourite outright, even though Panathinaikos remain the clear expected winners on paper.
Verdict: The market strongly favours Panathinaikos, but no value pick was found in the result market itself. The Under 2.5 Goals selection at 2.20 offers a modest edge (3.8%) with 47% implied confidence, a reasonable rather than overwhelming case, so stake sizing should reflect that moderate risk.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 3-0, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
W 13 Sept 26
Under 3.5 goalsfinal score 3-0
2.00 +1.00u Upcoming Greek Super League fixtures
All Greek Super League tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:00 | Panetolikos Agrinio v PAOK Thessaloniki | 170.00 | 29.00 | 1.03 |
| 10 Oct 15:00 | PAOK Thessaloniki v Kalamata FC | 1.25 | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | AEK Athens v OFI Crete | 1.20 | 6.10 | 14.00 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Asteras Tripolis v Atromitos Athens | 2.45 | 3.16 | 2.89 |
| 11 Oct 14:00 | Iraklis FC v Levadiakos | 2.47 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| 11 Oct 14:00 | AE Kifisia FC v Panetolikos Agrinio | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.55 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Aris Thessaloniki v Volos FC | 1.77 | 3.60 | 5.15 |
| 11 Oct 18:00 | Olympiakos Piraeus v Panathinaikos | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.39 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos Agrinio?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.20.
Who is favourite in Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos Agrinio?+
Panathinaikos are strong favourites, with odds of 1.31 implying roughly a 76% chance of winning according to the market.
What is the draw priced at in this match?+
The draw is priced at 5.05, which implies a probability of about 19.8%.
Is there value in this fixture according to the model?+
The model did not find value picks in the match-result market, but it flagged Under 2.5 Goals at 2.20 as a value bet, with a 3.8% edge and 47% implied confidence.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 3-0 (-1.00u at flat stakes).