English ⚽ Greek Super League 🕒 13 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
2.14
WonResult
2-0Final score
+1.14uProfit
49%Pre-match conf.
+0.94%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
PAOK's 1.68 price implies close to a 60% winning chance, the clearest signal on the board.
02
Aris at 5.04 reflects a market view of roughly 20% for an away win in this Thessaloniki derby.
03
The draw at 3.75 (about 27% implied) sits as a realistic secondary outcome given the price gap between the two teams.
04
The Over 2.5 goals recommendation at 2.00 comes with a -7.24% value edge, indicating the model sees it as marginally overpriced relative to its 46% confidence rather than a clear-cut value opportunity.
Team form
PT PAOK Thessaloniki WLWW
13 Sept 26 vs Aris Thessaloniki 2-0
6 Sept 26 @ Panathinaikos 1-3
30 Aug 26 @ Atromitos Athens 2-1
23 Aug 26 vs Levadiakos 4-0
AT Aris Thessaloniki DLLWW
19 Sept 26 vs Iraklis FC 0-0
13 Sept 26 @ PAOK Thessaloniki 0-2
5 Sept 26 @ AEK Athens 0-5
30 Aug 26 vs OFI Crete 2-1
22 Aug 26 @ Kalamata FC 3-2
Head-to-head: PAOK Thessaloniki v Aris Thessaloniki
W 13 Sept 26
PAOK Thessaloniki 2-0 Aris ThessalonikiGreek Super League
W/D/L shown from PAOK Thessaloniki's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
PAOK Thessaloniki vs Aris Thessaloniki: pre-match preview
PAOK Thessaloniki host city rivals Aris Thessaloniki in a Greek Super League derby where the odds board leaves little doubt about market sentiment. Betsson's 1.68 for a PAOK win implies a probability of roughly 60%, making the hosts strong favourites, while 1xBet's 5.04 on Aris suggests only about a 20% chance for the visitors. The draw at 3.75 sits in between, priced at close to 27%. These figures point to an expected home win but not an overwhelming one, given the overround built into the market. Away from the result market, our model highlights Over 2.5 goals at 2.00 as its recommended angle, though it carries a modest negative value edge of -7.24%, meaning the model's own confidence of 46% is slightly below what the price would need to represent clear value. Bettors should weigh this context carefully before staking.
Verdict: The market strongly favours PAOK, with Aris and the draw trailing well behind in implied probability. The suggested Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.00 is plausible but not a standout value play, carrying a slight negative edge, so it should be treated as a moderate-risk option rather than a confident selection.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 2-0, for a flat-stake return of +1.14 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
W 13 Sept 26
Under 3.5 goalsfinal score 2-0
1.81 +0.81u Upcoming Greek Super League fixtures
All Greek Super League tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:00 | Panetolikos Agrinio v PAOK Thessaloniki | 170.00 | 29.00 | 1.03 |
| 10 Oct 15:00 | PAOK Thessaloniki v Kalamata FC | 1.25 | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | AEK Athens v OFI Crete | 1.20 | 6.10 | 14.00 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Asteras Tripolis v Atromitos Athens | 2.45 | 3.16 | 2.89 |
| 11 Oct 14:00 | Iraklis FC v Levadiakos | 2.47 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| 11 Oct 14:00 | AE Kifisia FC v Panetolikos Agrinio | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.55 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Aris Thessaloniki v Volos FC | 1.77 | 3.60 | 5.15 |
| 11 Oct 18:00 | Olympiakos Piraeus v Panathinaikos | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.39 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for PAOK Thessaloniki vs Aris Thessaloniki?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.14.
Who is favourite between PAOK Thessaloniki and Aris Thessaloniki?+
PAOK are clear favourites, priced at 1.68 with Betsson, which implies close to a 60% chance of winning, compared to Aris at 5.04 (around 20%).
What is the draw priced at in this Greek Super League fixture?+
The draw is available at 3.75 with 1xBet, implying a probability of roughly 27%, positioning it as a secondary but realistic outcome behind a PAOK win.
Is there value in this PAOK vs Aris match according to the model?+
No standout value picks were flagged in the match-result market. The model's recommended bet, Over 2.5 goals at 2.00, actually shows a slightly negative value edge of -7.24%, so it should be approached with modest expectations rather than as a confident value play.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 2-0 (+1.14u at flat stakes).