English ⚽ Champions League 🕒 10 Sept 2026
Our tip
Over 3.5 goals
Odds
2.36
LostResult
1-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
45%Pre-match conf.
+6.31%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
PSV Eindhoven are heavily favoured at 1.46, implying roughly a 68 percent win probability according to the market.
02
Shakhtar Donetsk's 8.0 price implies only about a 12.5 percent chance of an away win, reflecting a wide gap between the two sides in the odds.
03
The draw at 5.25 sits at an implied probability near 19 percent, positioning it as a live but secondary outcome behind a home win.
04
The Over 3.5 goals selection at 2.36 shows a 6.42 percent value edge, with the model rating it at 45 percent versus the market's roughly 42 percent implied probability.
Team form
PE PSV Eindhoven DLLLW
10 Sept 26 vs Shaktar 1-1
28 Jan 26 vs Bayern 1-2
21 Jan 26 @ Newcastle 0-3
9 Dec 25 vs Atleti 2-3
26 Nov 25 @ Liverpool 4-1
SD Shakhtar Donetsk D
10 Sept 26 @ PSV 1-1
Head-to-head: PSV Eindhoven v Shakhtar Donetsk
D 10 Sept 26
PSV 1-1 ShaktarChampions League
W/D/L shown from PSV Eindhoven's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk: pre-match preview
Champions League action brings PSV Eindhoven up against Shakhtar Donetsk, and the betting market leaves little doubt about who is expected to come out on top. PSV are priced at 1.46 with Betsson, which implies a win probability of roughly 68 percent, making them strong favourites on home turf. Shakhtar, at 8.0 with Betfair, are given only about a 12.5 percent chance, while the draw at 5.25 with Coolbet sits at close to 19 percent. Rather than backing the outright winner, our model points elsewhere: Over 3.5 goals at 2.36 with 1xBet is flagged as the recommended angle, carrying a model-implied confidence of 45 percent against a market price suggesting around 42 percent, a value edge of 6.42 percent. It is a goals-market lean rather than a result-based one, worth weighing alongside the lopsided match-odds picture.
Verdict: The recommended angle is Over 3.5 goals at 2.36, supported by a modest 6.42 percent value edge over the market price. It is not a high-confidence pick at 45 percent, so it should be treated as a moderate-risk selection rather than a strong lean, and staked with normal bankroll discipline.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Champions League fixtures
All Champions League tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 16:45 | RC Lens v Sporting Lisbon | 2.47 | 3.95 | 2.86 |
| 13 Oct 16:45 | Sabah FK v Slavia Praha | 3.72 | 4.00 | 2.06 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Arsenal v Lille | 1.33 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Inter Milan v Club Brugge | 1.32 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Villarreal v Napoli | 2.42 | 3.75 | 3.12 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | RB Leipzig v PSV Eindhoven | 2.08 | 4.30 | 3.40 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Viking FK v Bayern Munich | 26.00 | 14.70 | 1.12 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Atlético Madrid v Manchester United | 2.35 | 4.00 | 2.97 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
UEFA Champions League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 | Barça | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 | Man United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | RC Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 | PAE AEK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 | Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Shaktar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Club Brugge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Slavia Praha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Atleti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | LASK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 | Sabah FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Sl. Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodø/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk?+
Our tip was Over 3.5 goals at odds of 2.36.
Who is favourite in the PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk match?+
PSV Eindhoven are clear favourites at odds of 1.46, which implies a win probability of around 68 percent according to the market.
What are the odds on a draw in this Champions League fixture?+
The draw is priced at 5.25 with Coolbet, implying an approximate probability of 19 percent.
Is there a value bet flagged for this game?+
Yes, the Over 3.5 goals market at 2.36 with 1xBet is highlighted, showing a 6.42 percent edge over the market's implied probability, though confidence is only moderate at 45 percent.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 1-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).