English ⚽ Liga MX 🕒 23 Aug 2026
Our tip
Puebla to win
Odds
2.68
WonResult
3-2Final score
+1.68uProfit
39%Pre-match conf.
+16.52%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Betsson
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
The odds gap is narrow: Santos Laguna at 2.43 versus Puebla at 2.68, so the market sees little separating the two sides.
02
Implied probabilities sit close together, around 41% for Santos Laguna and 37% for Puebla, underlining an even contest.
03
The draw at 3.55 carries a meaningful implied probability of about 28%, a realistic outcome in a tightly priced game.
04
Our model flags a 5.02% value edge on Puebla at 2.68, the only selection clearing the threshold, though it remains a modest margin.
Team form
PUE Puebla DLWWW
19 Sept 26 vs Atlante FC 1-1
16 Sept 26 vs Toluca 0-1
12 Sept 26 @ Necaxa 1-0
23 Aug 26 vs Santos Laguna 3-2
18 Aug 26 @ Pachuca 3-2
SL Santos Laguna WLLLL
14 Sept 26 vs FC Juárez 2-1
6 Sept 26 @ Cruz Azul 0-1
23 Aug 26 @ Puebla 2-3
17 Aug 26 vs Guadalajara 0-1
2 Aug 26 @ América 0-3
Head-to-head: Puebla v Santos Laguna
W 23 Aug 26
Puebla 3-2 Santos LagunaLiga MX
W/D/L shown from Puebla's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Puebla vs Santos Laguna: pre-match preview
This Liga MX fixture pits Puebla against Santos Laguna, and the market frames it as a close, evenly matched affair. Santos Laguna are the narrow favourites at 2.43 with 1xBet, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 41%. Puebla are not far behind at a best price of 2.68 (Betsson), implying about 37% before margin adjustments. The draw is priced at 3.55, reflecting the realistic chance of honours being shared in a game without a clear frontrunner. Our model leans toward the home side, recommending Puebla to win at 2.68 with a market-implied confidence of 39% and a modest value edge of 5.02%. That edge suggests the home price may be marginally generous relative to the model's read, but with the two teams separated by only a slim margin on the board, this remains a genuinely tight call rather than a one-sided matchup.
Verdict: The recommended play is Puebla to win at 2.68 (Betsson), supported by a small 5.02% value edge and roughly 39% model confidence. This is a medium-to-high risk selection given how close the prices are and the live draw chance. Stake responsibly and treat the edge as slim, not decisive.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 3-2, for a flat-stake return of +1.68 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Liga MX fixtures
All Liga MX tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sept 00:00 | Pachuca v Tijuana | 1.76 | 4.06 | 5.10 |
| 21 Sept 00:00 | Toluca v Santos Laguna | 1.27 | 7.60 | 11.00 |
| 21 Sept 02:10 | Querétaro v León | 2.72 | 3.60 | 2.74 |
| 26 Sept 01:00 | Atlante FC v Monterrey | 3.81 | 3.85 | 1.94 |
| 26 Sept 03:00 | Tijuana v Atlas | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| 26 Sept 23:00 | Cruz Azul v Toluca | 2.65 | 3.50 | 2.35 |
| 26 Sept 23:07 | Guadalajara v Querétaro | 1.41 | 4.60 | 6.25 |
| 27 Sept 01:00 | Tigres v Puebla | 1.50 | 4.70 | 6.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Puebla vs Santos Laguna?+
Our tip was Puebla to win at odds of 2.68.
Who is the favourite in Puebla vs Santos Laguna?+
Santos Laguna are the slight favourites at 2.43, implying about 41%, just ahead of Puebla at 2.68. The gap is narrow, so the market sees this as a close match.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.55 with 1xBet, which implies a probability of roughly 28%. That makes a shared result a realistic outcome worth considering.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
Our model identifies a modest 5.02% value edge on Puebla to win at 2.68, the only pick above threshold. It is a slim edge rather than a strong signal, so manage expectations and stakes accordingly.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 3-2 (+1.68u at flat stakes).