Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Rapid Wien are the market favourites at 2.17, an implied probability of about 46%, ahead of Grazer AK at 3.31 (around 30%).
The draw is priced at 3.4 with Coolbet, implying roughly 29% and keeping all three outcomes reasonably close.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.97 reflects near even-money pricing and a market-implied confidence of about 48%.
The value edge on that Over 2.5 selection is negative at -5.4%, indicating the price offers no clear edge over the market.
Team form
Head-to-head: Rapid Wien v Grazer AK
W/D/L shown from Rapid Wien's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Rapid Wien vs Grazer AK: pre-match preview
Rapid Wien host Grazer AK in the Austrian Bundesliga, and the market leaves little doubt about which side it favours. At 2.17, Rapid are priced as home favourites, translating to an implied probability of roughly 46%. Grazer AK are the outsiders at 3.31, or about 30% in probability terms, while the draw sits at 3.4, close to 29%. Those numbers describe a contest the bookmakers see as tilted toward Rapid without being a foregone conclusion. Our model, rather than backing a specific side, leans toward the goals market: Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.97, carrying a market-implied confidence around 48%. It is worth noting the value edge here is negative at -5.4%, meaning the price is slightly shorter than our model would ideally want. That framing keeps expectations grounded ahead of kick-off in this Rapid Wien versus Grazer AK meeting.
Verdict: The recommended play is Over 2.5 goals at 1.97, close to an even-money proposition with implied confidence near 48%. However, the -5.4% value edge signals the odds are slightly unfavourable, so treat this as a marginal pick at best and stake responsibly rather than chasing the price.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 8-0, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Austrian Bundesliga fixtures
All Austrian Bundesliga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 15:00 | WSG Tirol v Ried | 2.60 | 3.42 | 2.53 |
| 10 Oct 17:30 | Austria Wien v Sturm Graz | 3.40 | 3.62 | 2.05 |
| 11 Oct 12:30 | Rheindorf Altach v Wolfsberger AC | 2.16 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| 11 Oct 12:30 | Hartberg v Austria Lustenau | 2.33 | 3.40 | 2.89 |
| 11 Oct 15:00 | LASK v Rapid Wien | 1.80 | 3.84 | 3.94 |
| 16 Oct 17:30 | Rapid Wien v Hartberg | 1.29 | 5.80 | 8.75 |
| 17 Oct 15:00 | Austria Lustenau v LASK | 8.05 | 5.30 | 1.34 |
| 17 Oct 17:30 | Ried v Austria Wien | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.06.
Rapid Wien are the favourites at 2.17 with 1xBet, an implied probability of roughly 46%. Grazer AK are the outsiders at 3.31, around 30%.
The draw is priced at 3.4 with Coolbet, which implies a probability of about 29%. That keeps the draw competitive with a Grazer AK win in the market's view.
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.97 actually carries a negative edge of -5.4%, so there is no clear value on offer here.
The tip lost — final score 8-0 (-1.00u at flat stakes).