English ⚽ Austrian Bundesliga 🕒 18 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.75
WonResult
3-0Final score
+0.75uProfit
59%Pre-match conf.
-7.41%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Tipico
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Rapid Wien's 1.41 price implies roughly 71 percent win probability, making them heavy favourites according to the market.
02
WSG Tirol's 6.88 price implies only about 14.5 percent, reflecting a wide gap between the two sides in the odds.
03
The draw at 4.7 implies around 21 percent, a live but secondary outcome given the favourite's strong pricing.
04
The Over 3.5 goals recommendation at 2.19 carries a -5.9 percent value edge against the model's fair-price estimate, so it is not flagged as a genuine market inefficiency.
05
No match-result selections cleared our value threshold, leaving the goals market as the only recommended angle.
Team form
RW Rapid Wien WWLWW
18 Sept 26 vs WSG Tirol 3-0
12 Sept 26 @ Wolfsberger AC 3-0
2 Sept 26 @ RB Salzburg 1-5
30 Aug 26 vs Sturm Graz 3-1
16 Aug 26 vs Grazer AK 8-0
WT WSG Tirol LDWLL
18 Sept 26 @ Rapid Wien 0-3
13 Sept 26 vs Hartberg 2-2
2 Sept 26 @ Austria Wien 1-0
16 Aug 26 vs RB Salzburg 0-3
7 Aug 26 @ Rheindorf Altach 1-3
Head-to-head: Rapid Wien v WSG Tirol
W 18 Sept 26
Rapid Wien 3-0 WSG TirolAustrian Bundesliga
W/D/L shown from Rapid Wien's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Rapid Wien vs WSG Tirol: pre-match preview
Rapid Wien host WSG Tirol in the Austrian Bundesliga with the bookmakers leaving little doubt about who they expect to win. At 1.41 for a home victory, the market prices Rapid as strong favourites, implying a probability of roughly 71 percent. WSG Tirol's price of 6.88 corresponds to just under 15 percent, while the draw at 4.7 implies around 21 percent, figures that together reflect the standard bookmaker margin rather than exact probabilities. With such a lopsided match-result market, our model looks past the win-draw-win line and points instead to Over 3.5 goals at 2.19, a bet that sits at 43 percent model-implied confidence. That price implies a fair probability near 46 percent, so the recommended angle carries a modest negative edge of -5.9 percent against the model's own estimate, meaning it should be treated as a directional goals-market lean rather than a clear-cut value play.
Verdict: The Over 3.5 goals pick at 2.19 reflects the model's 43 percent confidence level but shows a small negative edge versus its own fair value, so it should be viewed as a reasoned lean rather than a strong value bet. With no qualifying value picks in the match-result market, stake sizing should stay conservative and bankroll discipline remains advisable.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 3-0, for a flat-stake return of +0.75 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Austrian Bundesliga fixtures
All Austrian Bundesliga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 15:00 | WSG Tirol v Ried | 2.60 | 3.42 | 2.53 |
| 10 Oct 17:30 | Austria Wien v Sturm Graz | 3.40 | 3.62 | 2.05 |
| 11 Oct 12:30 | Rheindorf Altach v Wolfsberger AC | 2.16 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| 11 Oct 12:30 | Hartberg v Austria Lustenau | 2.33 | 3.40 | 2.89 |
| 11 Oct 15:00 | LASK v Rapid Wien | 1.80 | 3.84 | 3.94 |
| 16 Oct 17:30 | Rapid Wien v Hartberg | 1.29 | 5.80 | 8.75 |
| 17 Oct 15:00 | Austria Lustenau v LASK | 8.05 | 5.30 | 1.34 |
| 17 Oct 17:30 | Ried v Austria Wien | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Rapid Wien vs WSG Tirol?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.75.
Who is the favourite in Rapid Wien vs WSG Tirol?+
Rapid Wien are strong favourites according to the odds, priced at 1.41 which implies roughly a 71 percent win probability, compared to WSG Tirol's 6.88 price implying about 14.5 percent.
What is the draw priced at in this match?+
The draw is available at 4.7, which implies an approximate 21 percent probability based on the market data provided.
Is there a value bet for this fixture?+
No match-result selection cleared the value threshold. The model's recommended bet is Over 3.5 goals at 2.19, though this shows a -5.9 percent edge versus the model's own fair value, so it is not a standout value play.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 3-0 (+0.75u at flat stakes).