Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Santos hold the shortest price (2.65) with an implied probability near 37.7%, making them the market's nominal favourite by a narrow margin.
Remo's best odds of 2.76 imply roughly 36.2%, putting them within a couple of points of Santos in probability terms.
The draw at 3.4 implies about 29.4%, the least fancied outcome of the three but still a meaningful share of the market.
The model rates Remo's winning chance at about 38%, above the 36.2% implied by the odds, generating a 6.21% value edge on the Remo win selection.
Team form
Head-to-head: Remo v Santos
Full H2H history →W/D/L shown from Remo's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Remo vs Santos: pre-match preview
Remo host Santos in a tightly priced Brasileirão fixture where the bookmakers see almost nothing separating the two sides. Santos carry the shortest price at 2.65 with Coolbet, translating to an implied probability of roughly 37.7%, while Remo sit close behind at 2.76 with 1xBet, implying about 36.2%. The draw, priced at 3.4, implies close to 29.4%, rounding out a market that views all three outcomes as realistic. Despite Santos holding a marginal edge on paper, our model flags Remo to win at 2.76 as the recommended angle, pricing Remo's true winning chance at around 38%, slightly above what the current odds imply. That gap produces a value edge of 6.21%, the standout figure in an otherwise balanced set of prices for this Brasileirão meeting.
Verdict: Remo to win at 2.76 is the flagged value bet, with the model's 38% probability estimate sitting modestly above the market's implied 36.2%. The edge is real but not large, and with Santos priced as a narrow favourite and the draw a genuine possibility, this remains a moderate-risk selection suited to careful staking rather than heavy exposure.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Remo to win at odds of 2.76.
By the odds on offer, Santos are the marginal favourite at 2.65, implying about 37.7% probability, just ahead of Remo at 2.76 (roughly 36.2%).
The draw is available at 3.4 with Coolbet, which implies a probability of around 29.4%, making it the least likely of the three outcomes according to the market.
Yes, according to the model, which flags Remo to win at 2.76 as a value pick, estimating Remo's true win probability at about 38% against an implied 36.2%, a 6.21% edge. No other selections cleared the value threshold.
The tip lost — final score 1-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).