Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Remo are the market favourites at 2.25, implying about a 44% chance, while Vitoria trail at 3.55 for roughly 28%.
The draw is priced close to Vitoria at 3.40, around 29%, pointing to a competitive but home-tilted contest.
Our recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.07 carries an implied confidence near 46% but a negative value edge of about -4%, below threshold.
No value picks cleared our consensus threshold for this match, so caution is warranted across all markets here.
Team form
Head-to-head: Remo v Vitoria
Full H2H history →W/D/L shown from Remo's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Remo vs Vitoria: pre-match preview
Remo host Vitoria in this Brasileirao encounter, and the market leans clearly toward the home side. At 2.25, Remo are priced as favourites, translating to an implied probability of roughly 44%. Vitoria are the outsiders at 3.55, which equates to about 28%, while the draw sits at 3.40, or around 29% in implied terms. The gap between the two teams is meaningful rather than overwhelming, suggesting the bookmakers see Remo as favoured on home turf but far from certain. Our model steps away from the match-result line and instead looks toward goals, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 2.07 with an implied confidence near 46%. It is worth flagging that this pick carries a slightly negative value edge of around -4%, so it sits below our usual value threshold. Approach it as a modest angle rather than a standout opportunity in this fixture.
Verdict: The model favours Over 2.5 goals at 2.07, backed by roughly 46% implied confidence. However, the -4% value edge means the price offers no clear edge over the market. Treat this as a low-conviction angle, stake responsibly, and remember all outcomes remain uncertain.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-0, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.07.
The tip lost — final score 2-0 (-1.00u at flat stakes).