English ⚽ Eliteserien 🕒 5 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.76
LostResult
4-0Final score
-1.00uProfit
59%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Matchbook
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Rosenborg are priced at 1.42, implying close to a 70% chance of victory according to the market.
02
HamKam's 8.2 price reflects a market view of roughly 12% winning probability, making them clear outsiders.
03
The draw at 5.5 implies about 18% probability, close to the model's fair estimate of 19%, producing a positive edge of 3.83%.
04
The recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 2.32 carries 42% model confidence but a slightly negative edge of -2.9%, so it is not a pure value bet.
Team form
ROS Rosenborg WWWLW
19 Sept 26 @ Kristiansund BK 3-1
12 Sept 26 vs Tromso 5-3
5 Sept 26 vs HamKam 4-0
30 Aug 26 @ Bodø/Glimt 2-4
14 Aug 26 vs Viking FK 2-1
HAM HamKam LLLDL
20 Sept 26 @ Tromso 2-3
13 Sept 26 vs Molde 1-5
5 Sept 26 @ Rosenborg 0-4
30 Aug 26 vs Kristiansund BK 2-2
16 Aug 26 @ SK Brann 0-3
Head-to-head: Rosenborg v HamKam
W 5 Sept 26
Rosenborg 4-0 HamKamEliteserien
W/D/L shown from Rosenborg's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Rosenborg vs HamKam: pre-match preview
Rosenborg host HamKam in an Eliteserien fixture where the betting market leaves little doubt about the expected outcome. Best odds of 1.42 on Rosenborg translate to an implied probability of roughly 70%, making the home side heavy favourites, while HamKam's 8.2 price implies just over 12% and the draw at 5.5 sits around 18%. Those numbers point to a lopsided contest on paper, though Eliteserien results can still surprise given the scale of the price gap. Away from the straight match-result market, our model's featured selection is Over 3.5 goals at 2.32, carrying a model-implied confidence of 42%, though its calculated edge is actually slightly negative at -2.9%, meaning it should be treated as a confidence-based pick rather than a clear value play. Separately, the draw shows a positive edge of 3.83% against its fair probability estimate of 19%, making it the more statistically interesting angle for value-focused bettors.
Verdict: The Over 3.5 goals pick at 2.32 reflects the model's confidence in an open, goal-heavy game, but its negative edge means it is not a mathematically favoured value bet. Given Rosenborg's strong favourite status, this market looks more speculative than secure, and stake sizing should reflect that added uncertainty.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 4-0, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Eliteserien fixtures
All Eliteserien tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:16 | SK Brann v Bodø/Glimt | 2.18 | 2.88 | 7.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Rosenborg vs HamKam?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.76.
Who is the favourite between Rosenborg and HamKam?+
Rosenborg are strong favourites, priced at 1.42, which implies roughly a 70% chance of winning according to the market.
What are the odds on a draw in Rosenborg vs HamKam?+
The best available draw price is 5.5, implying about 18% probability, close to the model's fair estimate of 19%, which gives it a positive edge of 3.83%.
Is there value in betting on this Eliteserien match?+
The draw shows a modest positive edge of 3.83% versus its fair probability, while the model's featured Over 3.5 goals selection at 2.32 has a slightly negative edge of -2.9%, so it is a confidence-based pick rather than a clear value bet.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 4-0 (-1.00u at flat stakes).