Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Viking FK are the market favourites at 2.0 (about 50% implied), with Rosenborg the underdog at 3.5 (roughly 29%) despite home advantage.
The draw is priced at 3.81, implying around 26%, a fairly standard price for a fixture with one clear favourite.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals pick at 1.53 carries roughly 60% market-implied confidence but a negative value edge of -8.44%.
No value picks cleared our threshold for this match, so there is no strong pricing discrepancy to exploit on the result.
Team form
Head-to-head: Rosenborg v Viking FK
W/D/L shown from Rosenborg's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Rosenborg vs Viking FK: pre-match preview
This Eliteserien clash pits Rosenborg against Viking FK, and the market has a clear lean here. Despite Rosenborg playing at home, they are priced as underdogs at 3.5, implying roughly a 29% chance of victory. Viking FK are the favourites at 2.0, which translates to about a 50% implied probability, while the draw sits at 3.81 (around 26%). Note that these figures sum above 100% because of the bookmaker's margin. Rather than a match-result angle, our model looks to the goals market, flagging Over 2.5 goals at 1.53 with the Unibet (NL) price. That corresponds to a market-implied confidence near 60%. Importantly, the value edge on this pick is negative at -8.44%, meaning the price offered is shorter than our model views as fair. In short, the market sees Viking as the side to beat, but the total-goals line is where the analysis focuses.
Verdict: The model highlights Over 2.5 goals at 1.53, reflecting around 60% implied confidence in an open game. Be aware the value edge is negative (-8.44%), so the price is shorter than fair value suggests. It is a plausible but not a value-backed selection; stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
Upcoming Eliteserien fixtures
All Eliteserien tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:16 | SK Brann v Bodø/Glimt | 2.18 | 2.88 | 7.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Viking FK to win at odds of 2.50.
Viking FK are the favourites at odds of 2.0, implying about a 50% chance. Rosenborg are the underdogs at 3.5, roughly 29% implied.
The draw is priced at 3.81 with 1xBet, which implies approximately a 26% chance of the match ending level.
No value picks cleared our threshold here. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.53 actually shows a negative value edge of -8.44%, meaning the price is shorter than our model considers fair.
The tip lost — final score 2-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).