English ⚽ Liga Profesional 🕒 5 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.53
WonResult
1-0Final score
+0.53uProfit
69%Pre-match conf.
-0.65%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
San Lorenzo are favourites at 2.46, implying roughly a 41 percent chance of victory, the highest of the three outcomes
02
Talleres are priced as outsiders at 3.35, translating to an implied probability of about 30 percent
03
The draw at 3.08 implies a 32 percent chance, keeping the match-result market relatively tight between draw and away outcomes
04
The Over 1.5 goals selection at 1.56 carries a model confidence of 61 percent but shows a negative value edge of -4.54 percent versus market consensus, meaning it is not flagged as a clear pricing advantage
Team form
SL San Lorenzo DWLDW
13 Sept 26 @ Independiente 1-1
5 Sept 26 vs Talleres 1-0
1 Sept 26 @ Instituto de Córdoba 0-1
21 Aug 26 @ Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0-0
15 Aug 26 vs Union Santa Fe 1-0
TAL Talleres LWLLL
20 Sept 26 @ Instituto de Córdoba 1-3
12 Sept 26 vs Union Santa Fe 2-1
5 Sept 26 @ San Lorenzo 0-1
18 Aug 26 @ Gimnasia Mendoza 1-3
12 Aug 26 vs Lanus 0-3
Head-to-head: San Lorenzo v Talleres
W 5 Sept 26
San Lorenzo 1-0 TalleresLiga Profesional
W/D/L shown from San Lorenzo's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
San Lorenzo vs Talleres: pre-match preview
San Lorenzo's home meeting with Talleres in the Liga Profesional sees the hosts installed as market favourites, with the best price on offer at 2.46 implying a win probability of roughly 41 percent. Talleres, priced at 3.35 with Codere, are given an implied chance of just under 30 percent, while the draw sits at 3.08, suggesting bookmakers see this as a fairly open contest despite San Lorenzo's edge. None of the three outcomes carries a standout value edge according to our consensus check, so there is no strong disagreement between our model and the market on the result itself. Instead, the recommended angle looks at goals rather than the scoreline, with Over 1.5 goals priced at 1.56 flagged as the more actionable market for this fixture between San Lorenzo and Talleres.
Verdict: The recommended Over 1.5 goals at 1.56 reflects a reasonably high model confidence of 61 percent, but the negative value edge suggests the market price already accounts for this fairly, if not slightly over-values it. It is a moderate-risk selection rather than a mispriced opportunity, so stake sizing should stay measured.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-0, for a flat-stake return of +0.53 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Liga Profesional fixtures
All Liga Profesional tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:45 | San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors | 17.50 | 3.10 | 1.65 |
| 20 Sept 20:00 | Platense v Newells Old Boys | 2.36 | 3.00 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 20:00 | Rosario Central v Argentinos Juniors | 2.08 | 3.30 | 4.33 |
| 20 Sept 22:15 | Belgrano de Cordoba v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 1.48 | 4.20 | 10.50 |
| 21 Sept 00:30 | Velez Sarsfield BA v CA Tigre BA | 2.36 | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| 21 Sept 17:30 | Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Atlético Tucuman | 3.35 | 2.98 | 2.58 |
| 21 Sept 22:00 | Barracas Central v Independiente Rivadavia | 3.45 | 3.01 | 2.50 |
| 22 Sept 00:15 | Lanus v Estudiantes | 2.26 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for San Lorenzo vs Talleres?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.53.
Who is favourite in San Lorenzo vs Talleres?+
San Lorenzo are the market favourites, priced at 2.46, which implies roughly a 41 percent chance of winning. Talleres are outsiders at 3.35, implying about a 30 percent chance.
What is the draw priced at in this Liga Profesional match?+
The best available draw price is 3.08, implying an approximate 32 percent probability, making it a fairly live outcome according to the market.
Is there value in betting on San Lorenzo vs Talleres?+
No standout value picks were identified in the match-result market for this fixture. The recommended angle is Over 1.5 goals at 1.56, though this carries a slightly negative value edge of -4.54 percent, meaning it is not a clear market mispricing.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 1-0 (+0.53u at flat stakes).