English ⚽ Liga Profesional 🕒 15 Aug 2026
Our tip
San Lorenzo to win
Odds
2.90
WonResult
1-0Final score
+1.90uProfit
37%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Betfair
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
The match-result market is perfectly level, with San Lorenzo and Union Santa Fe both at 2.81, each implying about a 36% win chance.
02
The draw at 2.93 sits close behind at roughly 34% implied probability, underlining how evenly the market rates the game.
03
Our recommended Over 1.5 goals at 1.61 reflects around 59% implied confidence, but the -5.12% value edge shows the price is a touch short of fair value.
04
No value picks cleared our threshold against the market consensus, so there is no standout edge on offer here.
Team form
SL San Lorenzo DWLDW
13 Sept 26 @ Independiente 1-1
5 Sept 26 vs Talleres 1-0
1 Sept 26 @ Instituto de Córdoba 0-1
21 Aug 26 @ Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0-0
15 Aug 26 vs Union Santa Fe 1-0
USF Union Santa Fe LLWWL
19 Sept 26 vs Independiente 1-2
12 Sept 26 @ Talleres 1-2
8 Sept 26 vs Instituto de Córdoba 3-2
21 Aug 26 @ Aldosivi Mar del Plata 3-1
15 Aug 26 @ San Lorenzo 0-1
Head-to-head: San Lorenzo v Union Santa Fe
W 15 Aug 26
San Lorenzo 1-0 Union Santa FeLiga Profesional
W/D/L shown from San Lorenzo's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe: pre-match preview
This Liga Profesional clash between San Lorenzo and Union Santa Fe arrives with the bookmaker unable to separate the two sides. Both teams sit at 2.81 for the match result, translating to an implied win probability of roughly 36% each, while the draw is priced at 2.93, or about 34%. In other words, the market treats this as close to a genuine coin toss, with no clear favourite emerging from the prices. Rather than picking a side, our model leans toward the goals market, recommending Over 1.5 goals at 1.61, which carries a market-implied confidence of around 59%. It is worth noting that this pick shows a negative value edge of about -5.12%, meaning the price is slightly shorter than our fair estimate. That places it more in the low-confidence category than a standout selection, so treat it accordingly when planning your stake for this fixture.
Verdict: The suggested play is Over 1.5 goals at 1.61. With a negative value edge of -5.12%, this is a low-confidence lean rather than a strong recommendation, so it carries meaningful risk. The result market itself is a near coin toss. Stake modestly and bet within your budget.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-0, for a flat-stake return of +1.90 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Liga Profesional fixtures
All Liga Profesional tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:45 | San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors | 17.50 | 3.10 | 1.65 |
| 20 Sept 20:00 | Platense v Newells Old Boys | 2.36 | 3.00 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 20:00 | Rosario Central v Argentinos Juniors | 2.08 | 3.30 | 4.33 |
| 20 Sept 22:15 | Belgrano de Cordoba v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 1.48 | 4.20 | 10.50 |
| 21 Sept 00:30 | Velez Sarsfield BA v CA Tigre BA | 2.36 | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| 21 Sept 17:30 | Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Atlético Tucuman | 3.35 | 2.98 | 2.58 |
| 21 Sept 22:00 | Barracas Central v Independiente Rivadavia | 3.45 | 3.01 | 2.50 |
| 22 Sept 00:15 | Lanus v Estudiantes | 2.26 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe?+
Our tip was San Lorenzo to win at odds of 2.90.
Who is the favourite in San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe?+
Neither team is a clear favourite. Both San Lorenzo and Union Santa Fe are priced identically at 2.81, giving each an implied win probability of around 36%.
What are the odds on a draw?+
The draw is available at 2.93, which implies roughly a 34% chance. That is close to the win prices, reflecting a very balanced market.
Is there any betting value in this match?+
No value picks cleared our threshold against the market. The recommended Over 1.5 goals at 1.61 actually shows a slightly negative value edge of -5.12%, so it is a low-confidence lean at best.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 1-0 (+1.90u at flat stakes).