Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Sandefjord are the market favourites at 2.11, about 47% implied probability, but the price is short of a dominant favourite.
KFUM at 3.63 (around 28%) and the draw at 3.70 (around 27%) are priced almost level, suggesting an uncertain outcome beyond the favourite.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.78 carries roughly 54% market-implied confidence, indicating the model expects an open scoring game.
The value edge on the Over sits at -3.24%, meaning the price is marginally against you rather than offering clear positive value.
Team form
Head-to-head: Sandefjord v KFUM
W/D/L shown from Sandefjord's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Sandefjord vs KFUM: pre-match preview
Sandefjord host KFUM in this Eliteserien fixture, and the market leans clearly toward the home side. At 2.11, Sandefjord carry an implied probability of roughly 47%, marking them as favourites without making the outcome a formality. KFUM are priced at 3.63, which translates to about 28%, while the draw sits at 3.70, or close to 27%. Those numbers point to a contest the bookmakers see as tilted but far from settled. Our model steps away from the match-result market and looks at goals instead, recommending Over 2.5 at 1.78 with Coolbet. That price reflects market-implied confidence around 54%, though the value edge here runs slightly negative at -3.24%, so this is more a lean than a standout opportunity. The read is a home team favoured to edge it, in a game the model expects to feature goals at both ends.
Verdict: The model's pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.78, backed by around 54% implied confidence. It is a moderate-risk lean rather than a value play, since the edge is slightly negative at -3.24%. Treat it as a modest position and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Eliteserien fixtures
All Eliteserien tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:16 | SK Brann v Bodø/Glimt | 2.18 | 2.88 | 7.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Sandefjord to win at odds of 2.44.
Sandefjord are the favourites at 2.11, an implied probability of roughly 47%. KFUM are the outsiders at 3.63, around 28%.
The draw is priced at 3.70 with Nordic Bet, which implies about a 27% chance. That sits very close to the odds for a KFUM win.
The model recommends Over 2.5 goals at 1.78, but the value edge is slightly negative at -3.24%. It reflects an expectation of goals rather than a genuine price advantage, so approach it as a lean.
The tip lost — final score 0-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).