English ⚽ Primeira Liga 🕒 23 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 2.0 goals
Odds
2.01
WonResult
1-0Final score
+1.01uProfit
45%Pre-match conf.
+4.15%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Pinnacle
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Famalicão are marginal favourites at 2.67 (around 37% implied), just ahead of Santa Clara at 2.93 (around 34%).
02
The draw at 3.1 sits close to both sides in probability terms, reflecting a well-balanced three-way market.
03
No match-result selection cleared our value threshold, so there is no recommended pick on the outright winner.
04
The standout number is Under 2.0 goals at 2.01, with a market-implied confidence of 45% and an 18.2% value edge.
Team form
SC Santa Clara WWDWW
13 Sept 26 @ Arouca 2-1
6 Sept 26 vs Rio Ave 4-0
29 Aug 26 @ Alverca 1-1
23 Aug 26 vs Famalicão 1-0
15 Aug 26 @ Acad. Viseu 1-0
FAM Famalicão WDDDL
19 Sept 26 @ CD Nacional 4-0
13 Sept 26 vs Sporting CP 1-1
5 Sept 26 @ Amadora 2-2
30 Aug 26 vs Gil Vicente 0-0
23 Aug 26 @ Santa Clara 0-1
Head-to-head: Santa Clara v Famalicão
Full H2H history → W 23 Aug 26
Santa Clara 1-0 FamalicãoPrimeira Liga
L 18 Jan 26
Santa Clara 0-1 FamalicãoPrimeira Liga
L 10 Aug 25
Famalicão 3-0 Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
W/D/L shown from Santa Clara's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Santa Clara vs Famalicão: pre-match preview
This Primeira Liga meeting between Santa Clara and Famalicão is priced as a genuinely close contest, with the market leaning only slightly towards the visitors. Famalicão sit as narrow favourites at 2.67 with Pinnacle, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 37%. Santa Clara are close behind at 2.93, or about 34% in implied terms, so the home advantage does not appear to sway the odds decisively. The draw is quoted at 3.1 with Coolbet, worth around 32%, underlining how open the pricing is across all three outcomes. Rather than backing a side in such a tightly balanced match, our model steers towards the goals market. It highlights Under 2.0 goals at 2.01 with Pinnacle, carrying a market-implied confidence of 45% and a notable value edge of 18.2%. That total-based angle is where the numbers suggest the most attractive discrepancy between price and estimated probability here.
Verdict: The recommended play is Under 2.0 goals at 2.01, where the model sees an 18.2% edge against a roughly 45% confidence level. It is a moderate-risk pick in a tight, low-margin fixture, so treat it as one angle among many and stake within your usual limits.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-0, for a flat-stake return of +1.01 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Primeira Liga fixtures
All Primeira Liga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:00 | Santa Clara v Braga | 34.00 | 1.38 | 30.00 |
| 20 Sept 17:01 | Estoril v Casa Pia | 100.00 | 7.50 | 4.82 |
| 20 Sept 19:30 | FC Porto v Benfica | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.64 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Primeira Liga standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 2 | SL Benfica | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 | Acad. Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Amadora | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Marítimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicão | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | CD Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 | Estoril Praia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -14 | 2 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Santa Clara vs Famalicão?+
Our tip was Under 2.0 goals at odds of 2.01.
Who is the favourite for Santa Clara vs Famalicão?+
Famalicão are the slight favourites at 2.67, implying about a 37% chance. Santa Clara are close behind at 2.93 (around 34%), so the market sees this as a tight game.
What are the draw odds for this match?+
The draw is priced at 3.1 with Coolbet, which equates to a market-implied probability of roughly 32%.
Is there any value in this fixture?+
No match-result selection cleared our value threshold. The value angle identified is Under 2.0 goals at 2.01, with an 18.2% edge and around 45% implied confidence.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 1-0 (+1.01u at flat stakes).