English ⚽ Liga MX 🕒 17 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.62
WonResult
0-1Final score
+0.62uProfit
64%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Matchbook
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Guadalajara are favourites at 1.62, an implied probability of about 62%, well ahead of Santos Laguna's 5.25 (roughly 19%).
02
The draw is priced at 4.2, implying near 24% and sitting between the two match-result options in likelihood.
03
Our recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.68 reflects a market-implied confidence of around 56%.
04
The value edge on that Over 2.5 selection is negative at -5.69%, so it is priced slightly against the bettor rather than offering an edge.
Team form
SL Santos Laguna WLLLL
14 Sept 26 vs FC Juárez 2-1
6 Sept 26 @ Cruz Azul 0-1
23 Aug 26 @ Puebla 2-3
17 Aug 26 vs Guadalajara 0-1
2 Aug 26 @ América 0-3
GUA Guadalajara DWWWW
20 Sept 26 @ América 2-2
14 Sept 26 vs Pumas 3-0
5 Sept 26 @ Atlético San Luis 3-0
23 Aug 26 vs Tijuana 5-2
17 Aug 26 @ Santos Laguna 1-0
Head-to-head: Santos Laguna v Guadalajara
L 17 Aug 26
Santos Laguna 0-1 GuadalajaraLiga MX
W/D/L shown from Santos Laguna's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara: pre-match preview
This Liga MX meeting between Santos Laguna and Guadalajara sees the visitors installed as clear favourites. Guadalajara are priced at 1.62 with Coolbet, which converts to roughly a 62% implied chance of taking the three points. Santos Laguna are the outsiders at 5.25, or about 19% in probability terms, while the draw sits at 4.2, implying close to 24%. The gap in the prices tells the story: the market leans firmly towards Guadalajara controlling this fixture, with a home win seen as the least likely outcome. Rather than backing the match result, our model turns to the goals market. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.68 with 1xBet, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 56%. It is worth noting the value edge here is slightly negative at -5.69%, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Verdict: The model recommends Over 2.5 goals at 1.68, backed by roughly 56% implied confidence. Be aware the value edge is negative at -5.69%, meaning the price is a touch short of fair. Treat this as a modest lean, stake responsibly, and remember goals markets can swing on a single outcome.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 0-1, for a flat-stake return of +0.62 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Liga MX fixtures
All Liga MX tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sept 00:00 | Pachuca v Tijuana | 1.76 | 4.06 | 5.10 |
| 21 Sept 00:00 | Toluca v Santos Laguna | 1.27 | 7.60 | 11.00 |
| 21 Sept 02:10 | Querétaro v León | 2.72 | 3.60 | 2.74 |
| 26 Sept 01:00 | Atlante FC v Monterrey | 3.81 | 3.85 | 1.94 |
| 26 Sept 03:00 | Tijuana v Atlas | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| 26 Sept 23:00 | Cruz Azul v Toluca | 2.65 | 3.50 | 2.35 |
| 26 Sept 23:07 | Guadalajara v Querétaro | 1.41 | 4.60 | 6.25 |
| 27 Sept 01:00 | Tigres v Puebla | 1.50 | 4.70 | 6.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.62.
Who is the favourite for Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara?+
Guadalajara are the favourites at 1.62 with Coolbet, an implied probability of about 62%. Santos Laguna are the outsiders at 5.25, around 19%.
What are the odds on a draw?+
The draw is priced at 4.2 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 24% chance of the points being shared.
Is there any value in this match?+
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.68 actually shows a negative value edge of -5.69%, so it is a lean rather than a clear value play.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 0-1 (+0.62u at flat stakes).