English ⚽ Eliteserien 🕒 16 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.67
WonResult
1-2Final score
+0.67uProfit
64%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at LeoVegas (SE)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Sarpsborg FK are firm favourites at 1.8 (roughly 56% implied), well ahead of Sandefjord at 4.26 (around 23%).
02
The draw is priced at 4.1, or about 24% implied, close to the away side's chance and reflecting an expected home edge.
03
The recommended Under 3.5 goals at 1.67 carries an estimated 64% implied confidence and a value edge of about 7.07%.
04
No match-result value picks cleared our threshold, so the goals total is where the model sees the edge rather than the outright winner.
Team form
SF Sarpsborg FK LDDDL
18 Sept 26 vs KFUM 1-3
13 Sept 26 @ Fredrikstad FK 1-1
6 Sept 26 vs Vålerenga 2-2
30 Aug 26 @ Tromso 0-0
16 Aug 26 vs Sandefjord 1-2
SAN Sandefjord WLDDW
20 Sept 26 vs IK Start 3-0
14 Sept 26 @ Bodø/Glimt 2-3
4 Sept 26 vs Viking FK 1-1
30 Aug 26 vs SK Brann 0-0
16 Aug 26 @ Sarpsborg FK 2-1
Head-to-head: Sarpsborg FK v Sandefjord
L 16 Aug 26
Sarpsborg FK 1-2 SandefjordEliteserien
W/D/L shown from Sarpsborg FK's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Sarpsborg FK vs Sandefjord: pre-match preview
This Eliteserien fixture sees Sarpsborg FK host Sandefjord, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. At a best price of 1.8, Sarpsborg FK are priced as clear home favourites, implying roughly a 56% chance of taking the three points. Sandefjord, by contrast, are out at 4.26, translating to around 23% in probability terms, while the draw sits at 4.1 (about 24%). That spread points to a match the bookmakers expect the home side to control, without treating the outcome as a formality. Our model, however, steers away from the result market and toward the total: the recommended play is Under 3.5 goals at 1.67 with LeoVegas (SE), carrying a market-implied confidence of about 64% and a value edge of just over 7%. It is the goals line, rather than the head-to-head, where the numbers suggest the better opportunity here.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.67, backed by roughly 64% implied confidence and a modest 7% value edge. It is a moderate-risk pick that leans on the total rather than the result. Goal totals can swing on a single game state, so stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-2, for a flat-stake return of +0.67 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Eliteserien fixtures
All Eliteserien tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:16 | SK Brann v Bodø/Glimt | 2.18 | 2.88 | 7.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Sarpsborg FK vs Sandefjord?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.67.
Who is the favourite for Sarpsborg FK vs Sandefjord?+
Sarpsborg FK are the market favourites at a best price of 1.8, implying around a 56% chance. Sandefjord are outsiders at 4.26, roughly 23% implied.
What are the draw odds for this Eliteserien match?+
The draw is available at 4.1, which equates to an implied probability of about 24%, close to Sandefjord's chance of winning.
Is there any value bet in this fixture?+
Our model highlights Under 3.5 goals at 1.67 with LeoVegas (SE), showing an estimated value edge of around 7.07% and about 64% implied confidence. No match-result selection met the value threshold.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 1-2 (+0.67u at flat stakes).