Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Sassuolo are favourites at 2.45 (about 41% implied), but the margin over Torino at 3.20 (about 31%) is slim.
The draw is priced at 3.39, implying roughly 30% and underlining a competitive, closely matched market.
The recommended pick is Over 2.5 goals at 2.1, with a modest 3.8% value edge and 49% implied confidence.
No match-result value picks cleared our threshold, so the goals market is the only qualifying angle.
Team form
Head-to-head: Sassuolo v Torino
Full H2H history →W/D/L shown from Sassuolo's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Sassuolo vs Torino: pre-match preview
Sassuolo host Torino in this Serie A fixture, and the market leans toward the home side. At a best price of 2.45, Sassuolo carry an implied probability of roughly 41%, making them modest favourites rather than a standout pick. Torino, priced at 3.20 with Tipico, sit at about 31% in probability terms, while the draw at 3.39 translates to close to 30%. Those figures point to a reasonably open contest, with the outright winner far from settled. Rather than backing a side, our model steers toward the goals market: Over 2.5 goals at 2.1 with 1xBet, carrying a market-implied confidence of 49% and a small value edge of 3.8%. That edge reflects a slight lean toward an entertaining, higher-scoring game rather than a cagey, low-goal affair, and it is the only selection clearing our threshold here.
Verdict: Our recommended bet is Over 2.5 goals at 2.1, backed by a small 3.8% value edge and near-even 49% confidence. This is a marginal call rather than a strong lean, so treat it as a low-conviction pick and stake within sensible bankroll limits.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Serie A fixtures
All Serie A tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:45 | AC Milan v Lecce | 1.26 | 6.60 | 16.00 |
| 10 Oct 13:00 | Genoa v Fiorentina | 3.25 | 3.48 | 2.45 |
| 10 Oct 16:00 | Inter Milan v Parma | 1.14 | 10.60 | 22.00 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Napoli v Frosinone | 1.49 | 4.94 | 7.50 |
| 11 Oct 10:30 | Como v AS Roma | 2.64 | 3.67 | 2.88 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lecce v Bologna | 4.21 | 3.50 | 2.08 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lazio v Monza | 1.77 | 3.81 | 5.40 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Sassuolo v AC Milan | 4.58 | 3.93 | 1.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Serie A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Milan | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.10.
Sassuolo are the favourites at a best price of 2.45, implying around 41%. Torino are priced at 3.20 (about 31%), so the gap is fairly narrow.
The draw is available at 3.39 with 1xBet, which implies roughly a 30% chance and reflects a closely priced contest.
The only selection clearing our threshold is Over 2.5 goals at 2.1, with a small 3.8% value edge. No match-result outcome offered value above our consensus threshold.
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).