English ⚽ Belgian Pro League 🕒 20 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.85
WonResult
0-2Final score
+0.85uProfit
56%Pre-match conf.
+5.11%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Sint Truiden are strongly favoured at 1.74, implying roughly a 57 percent chance of victory according to the market.
02
Westerlo's best price of 4.99 corresponds to about a 20 percent implied probability, with a model fair probability of 22 percent and an 8.63 percent edge.
03
The draw at 4.2 implies close to 24 percent, while the model's fair probability of 25 percent gives it a 6.31 percent edge over the market price.
04
The recommended Under 3.5 goals bet at 1.85 carries 56 percent implied confidence and a 3.45 percent value edge, the smallest edge among the highlighted options.
Team form
ST Sint Truiden LLWLW
20 Sept 26 vs Westerlo 0-2
12 Sept 26 @ SK Beveren 0-2
5 Sept 26 vs RAAL La Louvière 4-0
2 Sept 26 vs Union Saint-Gilloise 0-3
30 Aug 26 @ Royal Antwerp 4-1
WES Westerlo WWWDL
20 Sept 26 @ Sint Truiden 2-0
12 Sept 26 vs Standard Liege 4-2
5 Sept 26 @ KV Mechelen 4-0
30 Aug 26 vs SV Zulte-Waregem 2-2
23 Aug 26 @ Lommel SK 0-4
Head-to-head: Sint Truiden v Westerlo
L 20 Sept 26
Sint Truiden 0-2 WesterloBelgian Pro League
W/D/L shown from Sint Truiden's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Sint Truiden vs Westerlo: pre-match preview
Sint Truiden host Westerlo in a Belgian Pro League fixture where the betting market has a clear view of the outcome. Sint Truiden are priced at 1.74, which implies a win probability of roughly 57 percent, making them the strong favourite on paper. Westerlo drift out to 4.99 (around 20 percent implied), while the draw sits at 4.2 (about 24 percent implied). Those numbers point to a game the market expects Sint Truiden to control, though the gap between favourite and underdog leaves some room for an upset or a stalemate given Belgian top-flight variance. Away from the result market, the model's featured angle is Under 3.5 goals at 1.85, reflecting a 56 percent confidence level and a modest value edge of 3.45 percent, suggesting the goals market may offer a steadier route into this fixture than backing either side outright.
Verdict: The Under 3.5 goals selection at 1.85 offers a modest, data-backed edge of 3.45 percent with 56 percent confidence, making it a reasonably balanced pick rather than a high-certainty play. Bettors should treat it as one option among several, sizing stakes sensibly given the inherent uncertainty in match outcomes.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 0-2, for a flat-stake return of +0.85 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Belgian Pro League fixtures
All Belgian Pro League tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:16 | KV Kortrijk v SK Beveren | 1.13 | 9.80 | 110.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Sint Truiden vs Westerlo?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.85.
Who is favourite in the Sint Truiden vs Westerlo match?+
Sint Truiden are the clear market favourites at odds of 1.74, implying about a 57 percent win probability, compared to Westerlo's 4.99 (around 20 percent) and the draw at 4.2 (about 24 percent).
What is the draw priced at for this fixture?+
The best available price for the draw is 4.2 from Coolbet, which implies roughly a 24 percent chance, and the model puts its fair probability slightly higher at 25 percent, giving it a 6.31 percent edge.
Is there value on Westerlo or the draw in this game?+
According to the model, both show positive edges versus market pricing: Westerlo at 4.99 has an 8.63 percent edge (fair probability 22 percent) and the draw at 4.2 has a 6.31 percent edge (fair probability 25 percent), though neither is the site's top recommended bet.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 0-2 (+0.85u at flat stakes).