Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
SK Brann's 1.91 price implies roughly 52% win probability, the highest of the three outcomes on offer.
Lillestrom's 3.93 odds imply about 25% probability, notably behind the home side in market terms.
The draw is priced at 4.2 with Betfair, implying close to 24%, keeping that outcome a live possibility despite the home favouritism.
The model's 56% confidence in a Brann win exceeds the 52% implied by the 1.91 price, producing the stated 6.42% value edge.
Team form
Head-to-head: SK Brann v Lillestrom
W/D/L shown from SK Brann's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
SK Brann vs Lillestrom: pre-match preview
SK Brann head into this Eliteserien meeting with Lillestrom as the clear market favourites, with the best available price on a home win sitting at 1.91 with Coolbet. That price translates to an implied probability of roughly 52%, comfortably ahead of Lillestrom's 3.93 (around 25%) and the draw at 4.2 (about 24%) with Betfair. The gap between the two outright win prices highlights a fairly one-sided market view for this fixture. Our model's recommended selection is SK Brann to win at 1.91, backed by a model-implied confidence of 56% and a calculated value edge of 6.42% versus the market's own implied figure. No additional value picks against the wider market consensus were flagged for this game, so the Brann win stands as the standout data-driven angle heading into kick-off.
Verdict: The data points to SK Brann as deserved favourites, and the model's edge on the 1.91 price gives some statistical backing to that view. Still, with the draw and an away win together implying roughly 48% combined probability, this is far from a formality, so measured stakes are sensible.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Eliteserien fixtures
All Eliteserien tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:16 | SK Brann v Bodø/Glimt | 2.18 | 2.88 | 7.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was SK Brann to win at odds of 1.91.
SK Brann are favourites according to the odds, priced at 1.91 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 52% win probability, well ahead of Lillestrom's 25% implied chance.
The best available draw price is 4.2 with Betfair, which implies an approximate 24% probability for a stalemate.
Our model flags SK Brann at 1.91 as the recommended bet, citing a 6.42% value edge and 56% model confidence versus the market's 52% implied probability, though no other value picks reached the threshold for this fixture.
The tip lost — final score 1-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).