Champions League · Wed · 19:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Sep 20, 2026 · how we work
Stuttgart's 1.38 price implies roughly 72% win probability, marking them as strong favourites over Slovan Bratislava
Slovan's 8.9 odds imply just over 11% chance of victory, reflecting a sizeable gap between the two sides according to the market
The draw at 5.73 implies around 17.5% probability, sitting between the two win outcomes as expected in a lopsided match-up
The Over 3.5 goals recommendation carries a -1.36% value edge, meaning it is priced slightly against the model's own estimate rather than representing a clear market edge
| Market | Odds | Value edge | Confidence | AI score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 5.90 | +4.2% | 18% | 55 |
Model-scored alternatives to the main tip — every market is ranked by value edge and win probability, not by potential payout.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · ŠSB | X | 2 · VS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.45 | 5.71 | 1.39 |
| Coolbet | 8.75 | 5.75 | 1.35 |
| Betfair | 8.40 | 5.90 | 1.34 |
| Nordic Bet | 9.10 | 5.15 | 1.36 |
| Marathon Bet | 8.20 | 5.55 | 1.35 |
| Codere (IT) | 7.80 | 5.60 | 1.35 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Slovan Bratislava host VfB Stuttgart in the Champions League with the betting market leaving little doubt about who is expected to come out on top. Stuttgart are priced at 1.38 for the win, which implies a probability of roughly 72%, a clear indication that the visitors are considered strong favourites here. Slovan, by contrast, sit out at 8.9, translating to an implied chance of just above 11%, while the draw at 5.73 suggests around 17.5% probability. Away from the straight match-result market, our model points to Over 3.5 goals at 2.1 as its recommended angle, with a market-implied confidence of 47% and a value edge of -1.36%, meaning the model sees this price as marginally unfavourable rather than a clear market inefficiency. It is a fixture where the outright result looks heavily skewed, but the goals market offers a different, more balanced way to approach the game.
Verdict: The recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 2.1 reflects a near break-even proposition, with the model's own numbers showing a small negative edge. It is a reasonable alternative to backing the heavy favourite outright, but bettors should treat it as a moderate-risk selection rather than a confident value play, and stake accordingly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 16:45 | RC Lens v Sporting Lisbon | 2.47 | 3.95 | 2.86 |
| 13 Oct 16:45 | Sabah FK v Slavia Praha | 3.72 | 4.00 | 2.06 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Arsenal v Lille | 1.33 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Inter Milan v Club Brugge | 1.32 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Villarreal v Napoli | 2.42 | 3.75 | 3.12 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | RB Leipzig v PSV Eindhoven | 2.08 | 4.30 | 3.40 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Viking FK v Bayern Munich | 26.00 | 14.70 | 1.12 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Atlético Madrid v Manchester United | 2.35 | 4.00 | 2.97 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 | Barça | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 | Man United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | RC Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 | PAE AEK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 | Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Shaktar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Club Brugge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Slavia Praha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Atleti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | LASK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 | Sabah FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Sl. Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodø/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Our tip is Over 3.5 goals at odds of 2.07, with a 48% confidence rating.
VfB Stuttgart are the clear market favourites, priced at 1.38, which implies an approximate 72% probability of winning this Champions League fixture.
The draw is priced at 5.73 with the best available odds, implying a probability of roughly 17.5%.
According to the data, no match-result selections clear the site's value threshold. The model's featured pick, Over 3.5 goals at 2.1, actually shows a slightly negative edge of -1.36%, so it should be viewed as a balanced option rather than a strong value bet.
ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart takes place Wed · 19:00 in the Champions League.
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