English ⚽ Eredivisie 🕒 19 Sept 2026
Our tip
Heerenveen to win
Odds
2.76
WonResult
0-4Final score
+1.76uProfit
38%Pre-match conf.
+2.22%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Sparta Rotterdam are priced as favourites at 2.44, implying roughly 41% win probability, the shortest odds on the board.
02
Heerenveen's 2.76 price implies about 36.2% probability, but the model's 38% estimate creates a 5.56% value edge on the away win.
03
The draw at 3.71 implies close to 27%, keeping the match relatively competitive on paper.
04
No other markets in this fixture showed a value edge above the site's threshold.
Team form
SR Sparta Rotterdam LLDLD
19 Sept 26 vs Heerenveen 0-4
13 Sept 26 @ PSV 1-4
4 Sept 26 vs Zwolle 2-2
29 Aug 26 @ Excelsior 1-2
22 Aug 26 vs Utrecht 3-3
HEE Heerenveen WDLDL
19 Sept 26 @ Sparta 4-0
13 Sept 26 vs Telstar 0-0
6 Sept 26 vs AZ 2-3
30 Aug 26 @ Willem II 2-2
22 Aug 26 vs Zwolle 0-2
Head-to-head: Sparta Rotterdam v Heerenveen
Full H2H history → L 19 Sept 26
Sparta 0-4 HeerenveenEredivisie
L 28 Feb 26
Heerenveen 2-1 SpartaEredivisie
L 14 Dec 25
Sparta 0-3 HeerenveenEredivisie
W/D/L shown from Sparta Rotterdam's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen: pre-match preview
Sparta Rotterdam host Heerenveen in an Eredivisie fixture where the bookmakers give the home side a narrow edge. Sparta's best price of 2.44 implies a win probability of roughly 41%, the shortest of the three outcomes, while Heerenveen at 2.76 sits close behind at an implied 36.2%. The draw, priced at 3.71, carries an implied probability of about 27%, reflecting a fairly tight overall market rather than a one-sided contest. Despite Sparta's status as the nominal favourite by price, our model flags value on the visitors: it rates Heerenveen's true winning chances at around 38%, a touch above what the market currently prices in, producing an edge of 5.56% on the 2.76 quote. No other selections in this match cleared our value threshold, so this remains the standout angle from the numbers available.
Verdict: The model leans toward Heerenveen at 2.76, seeing modest value against a market that installs Sparta as favourite. The edge is real but slim at 5.56%, and with three outcomes closely priced this remains a moderate-risk pick rather than a confident selection. Stake sizing should reflect that uncertainty.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 0-4, for a flat-stake return of +1.76 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 19 Sept 26
Under 3.5 goalsfinal score 0-4
1.89 -1.00u Eredivisie standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +18 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +14 | 16 |
| 4 | Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 | Sittard | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -14 | 2 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen?+
Our tip was Heerenveen to win at odds of 2.76.
Who is favourite in the Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen match?+
By the odds, Sparta Rotterdam are the slight favourites, priced at 2.44 which implies about a 41% winning chance, compared to Heerenveen's 2.76 (about 36.2%).
What is the draw priced at for this Eredivisie fixture?+
The best available draw price is 3.71, which implies an approximate 27% probability of the match ending level.
Is there value in backing Heerenveen to win?+
The model estimates Heerenveen's true win probability at around 38%, slightly above the market-implied 36.2%, giving a calculated value edge of 5.56% at the 2.76 price, though this is a moderate rather than strong edge.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 0-4 (+1.76u at flat stakes).