English ⚽ Scottish Premiership 🕒 30 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.86
LostResult
3-3Final score
-1.00uProfit
57%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Pinnacle
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
The match-result prices are close: St Mirren at 2.6 (about 38%) narrowly ahead of Motherwell at 2.89 (about 35%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.19, an implied probability near 31%, underlining how evenly the market rates this fixture.
03
Our model's only flagged edge is on Under 2.5 goals at 1.86, with a 6.4% value edge and 57% implied confidence.
04
No match-result value picks cleared the threshold, so the goals total is the standout angle here rather than backing a winner.
Team form
SM St Mirren LLLWD
19 Sept 26 vs Dundee United 0-3
9 Sept 26 @ Rangers 0-1
5 Sept 26 vs Celtic 1-2
2 Sept 26 @ Kilmarnock 1-0
30 Aug 26 vs Motherwell 3-3
MOT Motherwell LLLWD
19 Sept 26 @ Dundee FC 1-2
15 Sept 26 vs Aberdeen 0-4
5 Sept 26 @ Rangers 0-1
2 Sept 26 vs Dundee United 3-0
30 Aug 26 @ St Mirren 3-3
Head-to-head: St Mirren v Motherwell
D 30 Aug 26
St Mirren 3-3 MotherwellScottish Premiership
W/D/L shown from St Mirren's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
St Mirren vs Motherwell: pre-match preview
This Scottish Premiership meeting between St Mirren and Motherwell arrives with the market leaning slightly toward the home side. St Mirren are priced at 2.6, implying roughly a 38% chance of victory, while Motherwell sit at 2.89, or about 35%. The draw is available at 3.19, translating to close to 31%. Those numbers describe a genuinely tight contest rather than a clear favourite, with the two-way pull between the sides separated by only a few points of implied probability. Rather than committing to a side in such a balanced fixture, our model steers toward the goals market. The recommended play is Under 2.5 goals at 1.86, carrying a market-implied confidence of 57% and a value edge of 6.4%. That angle reflects an expectation of a cagey, low-scoring affair, which the pricing across the match-result options broadly supports.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.86, backed by a modest 6.4% value edge and 57% confidence. It suits the tight, balanced pricing of this fixture. Treat it as a moderate-risk play, not a certainty, and stake within your normal bankroll limits.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 3-3, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
V 29 Aug 26
Under 2.5 goalsVoid — fixture rescheduled and re-listed
1.85 0.00u Match FAQ
What was our prediction for St Mirren vs Motherwell?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.86.
Who is the favourite for St Mirren vs Motherwell?+
St Mirren are marginal favourites at 2.6, implying about a 38% chance, just ahead of Motherwell at 2.89 (around 35%). The gap is small, so this is a closely priced match.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.19 with Pinnacle, which works out to roughly a 31% implied probability. That reflects how evenly the market rates both teams.
Is there any betting value in this match?+
The only pick above our threshold is Under 2.5 goals at 1.86, showing a 6.4% value edge and 57% implied confidence. No match-result selection qualified as value.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 3-3 (-1.00u at flat stakes).