English ⚽ Championship 🕒 5 Sept 2026
Our tip
Over 2.0 goals
Odds
1.68
WonResult
4-0Final score
+0.68uProfit
49%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Coolbet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Stoke City are priced at 2.16, implying roughly a 46% win probability and clear favourite status in this Championship meeting.
02
Charlton Athletic's 3.8 price implies around 26-27% win probability, but the model's fair-value estimate matches that closely while still showing a positive 3.85% edge on the current price.
03
The draw at 3.35 implies just under 30%, keeping the outcome market fairly competitive despite Stoke's favouritism.
04
The recommended Under 2.5 Goals bet at 1.66 carries a negative 5.02% edge versus the model's 57% confidence figure, suggesting the price is not clearly favourable even though it reflects the expected shape of the match.
Team form
SC Stoke City WWDWW
19 Sept 26 vs Sheffield Utd 2-1
12 Sept 26 @ Watford 2-1
8 Sept 26 @ Cardiff 1-1
5 Sept 26 vs Charlton 4-0
1 Sept 26 vs Norwich 1-0
CA Charlton Athletic LDDLD
19 Sept 26 @ Cardiff 1-3
12 Sept 26 vs Portsmouth 0-0
9 Sept 26 vs QPR 0-0
5 Sept 26 @ Stoke 0-4
2 Sept 26 @ West Brom 1-1
Head-to-head: Stoke City v Charlton Athletic
Full H2H history → W 5 Sept 26
Stoke 4-0 CharltonChampionship
L 11 Feb 26
Charlton 1-0 StokeChampionship
W 25 Nov 25
Stoke 3-0 CharltonChampionship
W/D/L shown from Stoke City's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Stoke City vs Charlton Athletic: pre-match preview
Stoke City host Charlton Athletic in a Championship fixture where the betting market clearly leans toward the home side. Best odds of 2.16 on Stoke imply a win probability of roughly 46%, notably higher than Charlton's 3.8 price, which points to around 26-27%. The draw sits at 3.35, translating to just under 30%, keeping this from being a one-sided market despite Stoke's favourite tag. Away from the result market, the model's headline lean is Under 2.5 goals at 1.66, reflecting a expectation of a tighter, lower-scoring contest, though the quoted -5.02% edge shows the model itself isn't fully convinced this price offers value. Interestingly, the numbers suggest more upside on Charlton's outright price, where a 3.85% edge is calculated against a 27% fair probability. Bettors weighing this fixture should treat Stoke as market favourites but note the value signals point elsewhere.
Verdict: The data points to Stoke as favourites, with the draw and Charlton both live outcomes given the odds spread. The suggested Under 2.5 Goals bet aligns with a low-scoring expectation, but its negative edge means it isn't a standout value play. Stake sizes should reflect that uncertainty and be managed responsibly.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 4-0, for a flat-stake return of +0.68 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 5 Sept 26
Under 2.5 goalsfinal score 4-0
1.78 -1.00u Upcoming Championship fixtures
All Championship tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 19:00 | West Ham United v Queens Park Rangers | 1.55 | 4.90 | 6.80 |
| 10 Oct 11:30 | Swansea City v Norwich City | 2.66 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| 10 Oct 11:30 | West Bromwich Albion v Birmingham City | 2.31 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| 10 Oct 11:30 | Charlton Athletic v Bristol City | 3.35 | 3.40 | 2.32 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Middlesbrough v Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2.21 | 3.73 | 3.40 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Blackburn Rovers v Cardiff City | 2.72 | 3.75 | 2.70 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Sheffield United v Lincoln City | 2.03 | 3.65 | 4.00 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Preston North End v Millwall | 2.66 | 3.40 | 2.71 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Championship standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 10 |
| 12 | Millwall | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 19 | Lincoln City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston NE | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Stoke City vs Charlton Athletic?+
Our tip was Over 2.0 goals at odds of 1.68.
Who are the favourites for Stoke City vs Charlton Athletic?+
Stoke City are the clear market favourites, priced at 2.16, which implies roughly a 46% chance of victory according to the odds.
What is the draw priced at in this Championship match?+
The draw is available at 3.35, implying an approximate 30% probability based on the current market.
Is there value in backing Charlton Athletic to win?+
The data shows Charlton's best price of 3.8 carries a calculated edge of 3.85% versus a fair probability of 27%, suggesting some value on the underdog, though it remains a lower-probability outcome overall.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 4-0 (+0.68u at flat stakes).