English ⚽ Premier League 🕒 30 Aug 2026
Our tip
Sunderland to win
Odds
2.68
WonResult
1-0Final score
+1.68uProfit
39%Pre-match conf.
-0.74%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
The odds gap between Sunderland (2.69) and Fulham (2.9) is narrow, marking this as close to a pick-em with Sunderland only fractionally favoured.
02
Implied probabilities land near 37% for Sunderland, 34% for Fulham and 30% for the draw, underlining how balanced the market considers this fixture.
03
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.14 carries about 46% market-implied confidence but a negative value edge of -1.36%, so it does not clear our value threshold.
04
No value picks exceeded the threshold against market consensus, suggesting the prices broadly reflect fair estimates.
Team form
SUN Sunderland LLDWL
20 Sept 26 @ Man City 3-5
12 Sept 26 vs Arsenal 0-2
5 Sept 26 @ Brentford 1-1
30 Aug 26 vs Fulham 1-0
22 Aug 26 @ Ipswich Town 1-2
FUL Fulham DDLLL
20 Sept 26 vs Man United 1-1
12 Sept 26 @ Liverpool 0-0
5 Sept 26 vs Crystal Palace 2-3
30 Aug 26 @ Sunderland 0-1
24 Aug 26 vs Chelsea 2-3
Head-to-head: Sunderland v Fulham
Full H2H history → W 30 Aug 26
Sunderland 1-0 FulhamPremier League
L 22 Feb 26
Sunderland 1-3 FulhamPremier League
L 22 Nov 25
Fulham 1-0 SunderlandPremier League
W/D/L shown from Sunderland's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Sunderland vs Fulham: pre-match preview
This Premier League clash between Sunderland and Fulham is one the market sees as genuinely close to a coin toss. Sunderland are marginally the shorter price at 2.69, implying roughly a 37% chance, while Fulham sit at 2.9, translating to about 34%. The draw is priced at 3.35, or around 30% implied. With no side priced as a clear favourite, the bookmakers are effectively signalling a balanced contest where home advantage gives Sunderland only the slimmest edge. Rather than backing the match result, our model leans toward the goals market, recommending Over 2.5 goals at 2.14. That price carries a market-implied confidence of about 46%. It is worth noting the value edge on this selection is slightly negative at -1.36%, so it sits below our usual value threshold. This is a preview grounded purely in the pricing on offer, not on team news or form we cannot verify.
Verdict: The model points to Over 2.5 goals at 2.14, but with a negative value edge of -1.36% this is a marginal call rather than a standout play. Treat it as a low-conviction lean in a tightly priced match, and stake responsibly given the uncertainty involved.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-0, for a flat-stake return of +1.68 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Premier League fixtures
All Premier League tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 11:30 | Arsenal v Leeds United | 1.36 | 5.50 | 10.50 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Chelsea v Bournemouth | 1.88 | 4.30 | 4.11 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Sunderland v Brighton and Hove Albion | 2.93 | 3.70 | 2.59 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Ipswich Town v Fulham | 2.79 | 3.70 | 2.63 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Aston Villa v Brentford | 2.76 | 3.65 | 2.74 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur | 1.75 | 4.40 | 4.82 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Hull City v Everton | 3.85 | 3.54 | 2.14 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest | 2.76 | 3.47 | 2.80 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Premier League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton Hove | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds United | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Man United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry City | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Sunderland vs Fulham?+
Our tip was Sunderland to win at odds of 2.68.
Who is the favourite for Sunderland vs Fulham?+
Sunderland are the narrow favourites at 2.69, just ahead of Fulham at 2.9. The gap is small, so the market views this as a close contest.
What is the draw priced at?+
The best available draw price is 3.35 with Nordic Bet, implying roughly a 30% chance of the match ending level.
Is there any value in this fixture?+
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.14 actually shows a slightly negative edge of -1.36%, so value is limited here.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 1-0 (+1.68u at flat stakes).