English ⚽ Liga MX 🕒 12 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
2.18
WonResult
0-1Final score
+1.18uProfit
48%Pre-match conf.
+5.83%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Unibet (SE)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Tijuana are favourites at 1.89, implying roughly a 53 percent chance of victory according to the market.
02
Querétaro's 3.50 price and the 3.60 draw price sit close together, both implying probabilities in the high-20s percent range.
03
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.61 implies about 62 percent probability, though the model's own confidence is lower at 58 percent.
04
The value edge on the Over 2.5 selection is negative (-7.39 percent), indicating no clear pricing advantage versus the market consensus.
Team form
TIJ Tijuana LLWD
12 Sept 26 vs Querétaro 0-1
23 Aug 26 @ Guadalajara 2-5
17 Aug 26 vs Cruz Azul 2-1
1 Aug 26 @ Atlético San Luis 0-0
QUE Querétaro WLDW
12 Sept 26 @ Tijuana 1-0
22 Aug 26 vs Toluca 1-2
16 Aug 26 @ Pumas 0-0
1 Aug 26 vs Tigres 3-2
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
Head-to-head: Tijuana v Querétaro
L 12 Sept 26
Tijuana 0-1 QuerétaroLiga MX
W/D/L shown from Tijuana's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Tijuana vs Querétaro: pre-match preview
Liga MX action brings Tijuana and Querétaro together, and the betting market leaves little doubt about who the bookmakers expect to come out on top. Tijuana are priced at 1.89 with Unibet (SE), which implies a win probability of roughly 53 percent, making them clear favourites on paper. Querétaro sit at 3.50 (about 29 percent implied) while the draw is priced similarly at 3.60 (around 28 percent), suggesting the market sees a competitive gap between the two sides even if it does not fully rule out an away result or a stalemate. Away from the match-result market, the model's featured angle is Over 2.5 goals at 1.61, which corresponds to an implied probability near 62 percent. That price carries a modest 58 percent confidence rating from the model but shows a negative value edge, meaning the market's own pricing may already be fair or slightly tight on this selection.
Verdict: Tijuana are the market's clear pick at home, but the standout angle here is Over 2.5 goals at 1.61. With a negative value edge and only 58 percent model confidence, this is a moderate-risk selection rather than a strong value play, so stake sizing should reflect that uncertainty.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 0-1, for a flat-stake return of +1.18 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Liga MX fixtures
All Liga MX tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sept 00:00 | Pachuca v Tijuana | 1.76 | 4.06 | 5.10 |
| 21 Sept 00:00 | Toluca v Santos Laguna | 1.27 | 7.60 | 11.00 |
| 21 Sept 02:10 | Querétaro v León | 2.72 | 3.60 | 2.74 |
| 26 Sept 01:00 | Atlante FC v Monterrey | 3.81 | 3.85 | 1.94 |
| 26 Sept 03:00 | Tijuana v Atlas | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| 26 Sept 23:00 | Cruz Azul v Toluca | 2.65 | 3.50 | 2.35 |
| 26 Sept 23:07 | Guadalajara v Querétaro | 1.41 | 4.60 | 6.25 |
| 27 Sept 01:00 | Tigres v Puebla | 1.50 | 4.70 | 6.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Tijuana vs Querétaro?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.18.
Who is favourite in the Tijuana vs Querétaro match?+
Tijuana are favourites according to the odds, priced at 1.89, which implies roughly a 53 percent chance of winning.
What is the draw priced at for this Liga MX fixture?+
The draw is available at 3.60, implying an approximate 28 percent probability, close to Querétaro's own implied win chance.
Is there value in backing Over 2.5 goals for this game?+
The model highlights Over 2.5 goals at 1.61, but the value edge is negative (-7.39 percent) and confidence sits at 58 percent, so it should be viewed as a moderate-risk pick rather than a clear market inefficiency.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 0-1 (+1.18u at flat stakes).