English ⚽ Serie A 🕒 23 Aug 2026
Our tip
Over 2.5 goals
Odds
1.97
WonResult
1-2Final score
+0.97uProfit
50%Pre-match conf.
-1.5%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
The odds make AC Milan clear favourites at 1.85, about a 54% implied probability, with Torino a long way back at 4.7 (roughly 21%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.87, implying around a 26% chance, typical for a fixture with one strongly favoured side.
03
Our recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.97 carries a market-implied confidence of 50%, essentially a coin-flip on the total.
04
The value edge on the Over 2.5 pick is slightly negative at -1.5%, meaning it offers no measurable edge over the market.
Team form
TOR Torino DLWLL
19 Sept 26 @ Bologna 1-1
14 Sept 26 vs Roma 0-2
5 Sept 26 @ Fiorentina 2-1
29 Aug 26 @ Sassuolo 1-2
23 Aug 26 vs Milan 1-2
AM AC Milan DDWWL
12 Sept 26 @ Lazio 2-2
6 Sept 26 @ Juventus 1-1
28 Aug 26 vs Venezia FC 2-0
23 Aug 26 @ Torino 2-1
24 May 26 vs Cagliari 1-2
Head-to-head: Torino v AC Milan
Full H2H history → L 23 Aug 26
Torino 1-2 MilanSerie A
L 21 Mar 26
Milan 3-2 TorinoSerie A
L 8 Dec 25
Torino 2-3 MilanSerie A
W/D/L shown from Torino's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Torino vs AC Milan: pre-match preview
Torino host AC Milan in Serie A, and the market leaves little doubt about which side it favours. Milan are priced at 1.85 with 1xBet, implying roughly a 54% chance of taking all three points, while Torino sit out at 4.7 on Betfair, translating to about a 21% shot. The draw is quoted at 3.87, worth around a 26% implied probability. That spread reflects a clear away favourite against a home side the market rates as a distinct underdog. Our model's attention, though, is on the goals market rather than the outcome: Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.97 with 1xBet, sitting at a market-implied 50% confidence. It's worth noting the value edge on that pick is slightly negative at -1.5%, so this is a lean rather than a standout price. Below we break down what the numbers say and how the recommended bet fits.
Verdict: The model leans toward Over 2.5 goals at 1.97, a roughly even-money proposition on a busy scoreline. With a negative value edge of -1.5%, this is a marginal call rather than a priced-in advantage, so treat it as a modest-stakes option and manage your bankroll accordingly.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-2, for a flat-stake return of +0.97 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
V 22 Aug 26
Over 2.5 goalsVoid — fixture rescheduled and re-listed
1.85 0.00u Upcoming Serie A fixtures
All Serie A tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:45 | AC Milan v Lecce | 1.26 | 6.60 | 16.00 |
| 10 Oct 13:00 | Genoa v Fiorentina | 3.25 | 3.48 | 2.45 |
| 10 Oct 16:00 | Inter Milan v Parma | 1.14 | 10.60 | 22.00 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Napoli v Frosinone | 1.49 | 4.94 | 7.50 |
| 11 Oct 10:30 | Como v AS Roma | 2.64 | 3.67 | 2.88 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lecce v Bologna | 4.21 | 3.50 | 2.08 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lazio v Monza | 1.77 | 3.81 | 5.40 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Sassuolo v AC Milan | 4.58 | 3.93 | 1.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Serie A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Milan | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Torino vs AC Milan?+
Our tip was Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.97.
Who is the favourite for Torino vs AC Milan?+
AC Milan are the favourites at 1.85, which implies about a 54% chance of winning. Torino are the underdogs at 4.7, roughly a 21% implied probability.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.87 with 1xBet, which translates to an implied probability of around 26%.
Is there any value in this match?+
No pick cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.97 actually shows a negative value edge of -1.5%, so it is a lean rather than a genuine value bet.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 1-2 (+0.97u at flat stakes).