English ⚽ Serie A 🕒 14 Sept 2026
Our tip
Over 2.5 goals
Odds
2.23
LostResult
0-2Final score
-1.00uProfit
48%Pre-match conf.
+23.2%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Roma's 1.66 best price implies around 60% win probability, making them strong market favourites over Torino.
02
Torino's 6.5 price implies roughly 15% chance of victory, a wide gap reflecting the market's clear lean toward the away side.
03
The draw at 4.03 implies close to 25% probability, a live but secondary outcome behind a Roma win.
04
The Over 2.5 goals pick at 2.09 shows a 7.36% value edge and 51% model confidence, positioning it as the standout recommendation over the match-result market.
Team form
TOR Torino DLWLL
19 Sept 26 @ Bologna 1-1
14 Sept 26 vs Roma 0-2
5 Sept 26 @ Fiorentina 2-1
29 Aug 26 @ Sassuolo 1-2
23 Aug 26 vs Milan 1-2
AR AS Roma DWWWW
19 Sept 26 vs Inter 2-2
14 Sept 26 @ Torino 2-0
5 Sept 26 vs Atalanta 2-1
31 Aug 26 @ Lecce 4-0
24 Aug 26 vs Fiorentina 4-0
Head-to-head: Torino v AS Roma
Full H2H history → L 14 Sept 26
Torino 0-2 RomaSerie A
L 18 Jan 26
Torino 0-2 RomaSerie A
W 14 Sept 25
Roma 0-1 TorinoSerie A
W/D/L shown from Torino's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Torino vs AS Roma: pre-match preview
Torino host AS Roma in Serie A with the visitors installed as clear favourites by the market. Roma's best price of 1.66 with Betfair implies a win probability of roughly 60%, a strong figure that reflects how one-sided bookmakers see this fixture. Torino, by contrast, are priced at 6.5 with Tipico, translating to just over 15% implied probability, while the draw sits at 4.03 with 1xBet, implying roughly 25%. Rather than backing the outright result, our model points elsewhere: an Over 2.5 goals selection at 2.09 with 1xBet, carrying a model confidence of 51% and a calculated value edge of 7.36% against the raw market price. This suggests the goals market may offer better relative value than trying to predict the winner outright, though as always the gap between model and market is not a guarantee of outcome.
Verdict: The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.09 carries a modest but genuine statistical edge (7.36%) and just-above-even model confidence (51%). It looks more attractive than backing the heavily favoured Roma outright, though goals markets remain inherently unpredictable and this should be treated as moderate, not low, risk.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Serie A fixtures
All Serie A tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:45 | AC Milan v Lecce | 1.26 | 6.60 | 16.00 |
| 10 Oct 13:00 | Genoa v Fiorentina | 3.25 | 3.48 | 2.45 |
| 10 Oct 16:00 | Inter Milan v Parma | 1.14 | 10.60 | 22.00 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Napoli v Frosinone | 1.49 | 4.94 | 7.50 |
| 11 Oct 10:30 | Como v AS Roma | 2.64 | 3.67 | 2.88 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lecce v Bologna | 4.21 | 3.50 | 2.08 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lazio v Monza | 1.77 | 3.81 | 5.40 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Sassuolo v AC Milan | 4.58 | 3.93 | 1.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Serie A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Milan | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Torino vs AS Roma?+
Our tip was Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.23.
Who is favourite in the Torino vs AS Roma match?+
AS Roma are the clear market favourites, priced at 1.66 with Betfair, which implies roughly a 60% chance of victory.
What is the draw priced at for Torino vs Roma?+
The draw is available at 4.03 with 1xBet, implying an approximate 25% probability of that outcome.
Is there value in this fixture according to the model?+
The main identified value is not in the match result but in Over 2.5 goals at 2.09 with 1xBet, which the model rates with a 7.36% edge and 51% confidence; no match-result value picks were flagged above threshold.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 0-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).