Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Tottenham are priced at 2.08, implying close to a 48% win probability and clear favourite status against Everton.
Everton's best price of 3.85 implies only around 26% chance of victory, the shortest end of the outcomes.
The draw at 3.69 (implied circa 27%) sits between the two win probabilities, showing the match-result market is not fully one-sided.
The Over 2.5 goals recommendation at 1.98 carries a modelled confidence of 50% but a slightly negative value edge of -1.5%, meaning it is not flagged as a strong value play.
Team form
Head-to-head: Tottenham Hotspur v Everton
Full H2H history →W/D/L shown from Tottenham Hotspur's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton: pre-match preview
Tottenham Hotspur host Everton in a Premier League fixture where the betting market has a clear, if not overwhelming, view. Spurs are priced at 2.08 with 1xBet, which implies a win probability of roughly 48%, making them the clear favourites on home soil. Everton, at best odds of 3.85 with Betfair, are given around 26% by the market, while the draw sits at 3.69 with 1xBet, implying close to 27%. Those numbers point to a game where Tottenham are favoured but far from being treated as a one-sided contest. Away from the match-result market, our model highlights Over 2.5 goals at 1.98 as the recommended angle, reflecting a roughly even-money view on goals rather than a strong lean on either side's result to define the game.
Verdict: The Over 2.5 goals pick at 1.98 reflects a roughly coin-flip view on goal output rather than a confident edge, given the -1.5% value gap versus the model's own probability. It's a reasonable, low-conviction angle rather than a standout opportunity, so stake sizing should reflect that uncertainty.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 0-0, for a flat-stake return of +1.23 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Premier League fixtures
All Premier League tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 11:30 | Arsenal v Leeds United | 1.36 | 5.50 | 10.50 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Chelsea v Bournemouth | 1.88 | 4.30 | 4.11 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Sunderland v Brighton and Hove Albion | 2.93 | 3.70 | 2.59 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Ipswich Town v Fulham | 2.79 | 3.70 | 2.63 |
| 10 Oct 14:00 | Aston Villa v Brentford | 2.76 | 3.65 | 2.74 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur | 1.75 | 4.40 | 4.82 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Hull City v Everton | 3.85 | 3.54 | 2.14 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest | 2.76 | 3.47 | 2.80 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Premier League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton Hove | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds United | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Man United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry City | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.23.
Tottenham Hotspur are the favourites according to the odds, priced at 2.08, which implies close to a 48% chance of winning. Everton, at 3.85, are priced as underdogs with an implied probability around 26%.
The draw is available at 3.69 with 1xBet, which implies roughly a 27% probability, sitting between the two teams' win chances in the market.
No standout value picks against the market consensus were identified for the match-result market. The model's Over 2.5 goals suggestion at 1.98 carries a slightly negative value edge of -1.5%, so it should be viewed as a modest, not a strongly favoured, angle.
The tip won — final score 0-0 (+1.23u at flat stakes).